Week 6 - TPC Style

I'm in need of a big week here, and I'm also looking for an excuse not to watch the NLCS. So here we go...Week 6...



Cincinnati -3 @ Kansas City
Great....The first game is the 'Obvious Pick of the Week' game. The game I should avoid at all costs. I guess the logical thing to do is go with the obvious pick. No seriously, I love this pick - Lock O' the Week. Cincy is 16-5-1 Against The Spread (ATS) in their last 22 road games and they desperately need a big win.


Houston +6.5 @ Jacksonville
Houston is very overrated and has beaten some bad teams this year. On the other hand, Jacksonville doesn't seem to score many points and does just enough to win. They should win this game but they won't cover.


Miami +4.5 @ Cleveland
I'm predicting a shootout here. I also think there will be two unlikely fantasy studs emerge from this ugly game - Jamal Lewis' backup RB Jason Wright and Miami QB Cleo Lemon. I'm actually considering starting Lemon over Carson Palmer this week. No seriously. Miami will pick up their first win and the Brady Quinn chants will reign from the sky like Cleo Lemon touchdown bombs.


Minnesota +6 @ Chicago
Tavaris Jackson...Kelly Holcomb....does it really matter? Of course it doesn't, but I don't like giving this many points. This game just has that feel of a 16-12 slugfest. Until the Bears get healthy again, I'll be taking the points, even if Tavaris Jackson is prominently involved. By the way, is it too early to say Adrian Peterson is going to be the best player to come out of the 2007 NFL draft? This guy is for real. Chicago wins a close one.

Philadelphia -3 @ NYJ
This Philly team is tough to get a read on. They hang 56 on a very bad Detroit D in week 3 then only manage 3 the next week against a decent Giants D. They were also held in check by Green Bay and Washington. So, the theme seems to be that they can only beat bad defensive teams. The Jets definitely fit that description with their 28th ranked defense. This is the sole reason I'm taking Philly here....I hate this pick. Philly by 3 TDs.

Baltimore -9.5 vs St. Louis
The Rams are more banged up than a hooker on a Saturday night. The following players are either out are will most likely miss this game: Stephen Jackson, Orlando Pace, Dante Hall, Dane Looker, Marc Bulger, Isaac Bruce, Corey Chavous. Baltimore's 4th ranked D could very easily pitch a shut-out this week. Ravens in a laugher.

Tennessee +3 @ Tampa Bay
Let me go on record as saying, I am not a Bucs believer. This team will show it's true colors this week when VY and the Titans come to town. I honestly can't believe the Bucs are favored in this game. Give me the Titans, the points, and an outright win. LET'S GO TITS....LET'S GO TITS!

Washington +3 @ Green Bay
I can't give up on my sleeper team of the year now, especially with the way they're playing defense. Look for the 4th ranked D to bottle up the Packer running game and force a few Favre turnovers. This should be a pretty close and exciting game and I like the Skins to come out on top.

Carolina +4 @ Arizona
I want nothing to do with Kurt Warner vs a fast defense. This could get ugly. I know this isn't the same Panther D we've seen in the past, but they still have the ideal pash rush to disrupt Old Man Warner. I like Carolina to win outright on the road.

New England -5.5 @ Dallas
I'm pumped for this game! It should be fun, high-scoring, and exciting! But, more importantly, it will further prove that the AFC is infinitely better than the NFC. Conferences aside, Randy Moss and Donte Stallworth are going to shread the Dallas secondary. And, since defense seems to be the theme this week, the 2nd ranked Pats D will be Tee'ing off on Romo. I like New England to pull away late and win easily.

Oakland +10 @ San Diego
The Chargers are hitting their stride and should win this game easily, but this line scares me. It's a lot of points to give up to a team that's averaging 25pts/game (more than the Chargers, incidentally). Like I said, the Chargers should win this game, but I'm still not sold on them just yet. Chargers win a close one with the Raiders threatening an upset.

Seattle -6.5 vs New Orleans
Things are going to get worse before they get better in New Orleans. I'll say it again...Reggie Bush is not an every-down back. Has anyone else noticed he only has one 100 yard rushing game in his 22 game career? Seattle will take over first in the NFC West this week and start to run away with the division. Seahawks by double digits.

NYG -3.5 @ Atlanta
Two important things to remember here.
1. The Giants are playing damn good football.
2. Joey Harrington is starting for the Falcons.
Giants win easily and I'll be asleep by halftime.

Have a great weekend everyone and Go Cubs...wait...

TPC