I said I needed a 10-3 week to get back into this thing and I almost got it. I ended up going 8-5 this week, not too shabby. There is one problem though...Rich also went 8-5. Let's chalk this one up as a moral victory.
As for this next week. You can't turn on your tv without hearing about the Pats/Colts game so we know that should be a good one. But, on paper, there aren't too many other games to get excited about. That is, until you dig a little deeper. Nine of the 14 games, win or lose, will influence a division lead. While that might not make each game any more exciting, it will make for an interesting Monday morning where we could potentially have the following division leaders: Arizona, Detroit, Tampa Bay, New Orleans (tie), Kansas City (current division leader - wow), San Diego (tie), NY Giants (tie). That might very well make Skip Bayless' head explode or render Emmith Smith speachless....or hopefully, God willing, both.
At least St. Louis and Miami both have byes so they can't lose (or win). Can we just give them both losses and get it over with? Too bad they don't play eachother this season. That would challenge Pats/Colts for game of the year.
Weekly Totals
Rich - 8-5
TPC - 8-5
YTD Totals
Rich: 62-46-8
TPC: 50-58-8
TPC
Wednesday, October 31, 2007
Friday, October 26, 2007
Week 8 - TPC
After another sub-par week, it's time to buckle down and actually pick some winners. This is what I get for picking so many favorites. I have to admit though, this is a lot tougher than I thought. I figured I knew plenty about the NFL to be able to successfully pick winners ATS (against the spread). Boy was I wrong. At this rate, I'm not even sure my record would be above .500 if I were just picking outright winners. This proves just because I can spit out just about any random stat in football, I can't make sense of the sport on a weekly basis. I'm not giving up here...I've just come to a Zen-like realization that I don't know near as much as I think I know. Man that was tough to say.
I feel better now. I feel rejuvenated, reinvigorated, rededicated, and slightly reintoxicated. I'm ready for a 10-3 week!!
Cleveland -3 @ St. Louis
Rams fans, think back to when the schedule came out. Admit it, you looked right past this game as an easy win on your way to a 10-6 season. I'm just as guilty as the rest of you. I would have mortgaged my house on the fact that, at week 8, the Rams would have a better record than the Browns. But somehow, and I have clue how he's done it, QB Derek Anderson has turned this team into an offensive juggernaut. They're 7th in total offense (354 yards/game) and 4th in scoring offense (27.8 pts/gm). At the other end of the spectrum are the Rams...30th in total offense (274 yds/gm) and dead last in scoring (11.3 pts/gm). The only thing the Rams lead the league in are turnovers with 23. Granted this team has been decimated by injuries but an Arena League team could put up a better fight than this. The return of RB Steven Jackson can only help the hapless offense but the injury bug has struck again. It looks like DE Leonard Little and C Brett Romberg will miss the game...definitely not what the doctor ordered for the Rams. Regardless of what the Rams can muster on offense, their defense won't be able to stop the aerial attack of the Browns. Anderson to WR Braylon Edwards should be a reoccurring theme Sunday. At least we won't have to watch this massacre on tv as the game surely won't sell out...Browns win big.
Detroit +5 @ Chicago
I'm only taking the points here because I think this game could turn out to be a 34-31 slugfest. Both teams are giving up way to many points to be taken seriously. We've previously discussed the demise of the once proud Chicago D, but Detroit's defense is just plain bad. Hell, they gave up 56 points to a Philly team that, without that 56 point game, would be averaging 12 points/game. We're talking Rams territory there. Look for the worst 4-2 team in football to fall at Soldier Field. Da Bears in a close game that I will not be watching.
Indianapolis -6.5 @ Carolina
So let me get this straight...the defending Super Bowl champs are undefeated while playing a tough schedule, they've overcome key injuries, and they've never played better football (3rd ranked offense and 3rd ranked defense) and nobody is talking about them?!?! And they might actually be underdogs next week to New England AT HOME?!? How does this happen? They only way they don't cover this game is if they do what I just did...look ahead to next week. I say they use the Panthers as an example and open up a can on them to set the tone for next week. I can't wait to see the line for Indy/NE - I'm pretty sure you already know which way I'll be going. Colts roll through Carolina on their way home.
New York Giants -9.5 @ Miami (London)
What's that you tell me? There's a game being played in London this week? Am I supposed to give a shit? Are the broadcasters going to have annoying accents? Will there be soccer-style chants in the stands? Better yet, will there be soccer-style fights in the stands? Even better, will there actually be people in the stands? Will any of the players be able to pass through customs? Is Ricky Williams still with the Dolphins? Does he know he can't bring a duffle bag full of pot onto a plane? So many questions, so little time. Roger Godell's plan to take over the world is almost complete. Although, I'm not sure why he decided to send the Giants and Dolphins as ambassadors. Giants roll in a laugher that nobody will be watching.
Oakland +7.5 @ Tennessee
Tennessee's average margin of victory this year....7.25. Coincidence? I think not. This is a lot of points to lay even though the Titans should win this game easily. If not for my rejuvenation and reintoxication, this would be a classic example of me taking the favorite just because I think they should win easily. Well, I'm not falling for that one anymore. Titans win by 7.25 points and Oakland barely covers.
Philadelphia -1 @ Minnesota
As long as the Vikings keep spoon-feeding the ball to Adrian Peterson, they will continue to struggle. There's no denying this kid is special so it's baffling why the Vikes don't get him more involved. Maybe they're trying to win the Matt Ryan/Andre Woodson/Brian Brohm sweepstakes. That's the only way I can explain it...they're tanking. And why wouldn't they really? They're not going anywhere this year and they need a franchise QB (Tavaris Jackson is clearly not the answer). Can you imagine the potential of this team with Peterson and Matt Ryan running the offense for the next 7-10 years? Minnesota's coaching staff obviously can. Philly in a low-scoring, boring game.
Cincinnati +3.5 vs Pittsburgh
I've all but written off the Bengals this season and had Pittsburgh pegged in this game. Then I dug a little deeper. The Steelers have been struggling on the road lately and the Bengals have played well at home. Coming off a big road loss to Denver, I just don't think Pittsburgh will be up for this game. Plus, Cincy is in a must-win situation. Desperation + Disappointment = Bengals win. See, I'm still an idiot.
Buffalo +3 @ New York Jets
The 1-6 Jets have done nothing to make me think they can beat anyone, let alone a team that has already beaten them once this year. This game could go either way and I could care less. Moving on....
San Diego -9.5 vs Houston
Two teams headed in opposite directions. I hate to give this many points because I think the San Diego players can't help but be distracted. But a 3 touchdown San Diego win feels about right.
Jacksonville +3.5 @ Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay -3.5 vs Jacksonville
I just have one question...who the hell is Quinn Gray? All I know is he looked absolutely atrocious last week. The half point scares the hell out of me.....but......nope I can't do it. I can't take the Jags, not when Quinn Gray is prominently involved. That half point might come back to bite me on the ass but I can't rely on Quinn if I want to hit 10-3 this week. Bucs win 10-6.
New Orleans -1 @ San Francisco
This is that obvious game of the week the Sports Guy likes to talk about. So what do I do? I take the obvious team of course. Like I said last week, the Saints are going to make a run at the playoffs and the 49ers don't pose a threat to a Saints team that's firing on all cylinders. Reggie Bush is proving my point though that he's not an every down back. He's just not built for it. Saints roll on their way to a 9-7 record.
Washington +16.5 @ New England
This is the best defense the Patriots have faced all year, hands down. So, what do you get when you pit the #5 ranked D (Washington) against the #4 ranked D (Pats)? You get a closer game than most people think. The Patriots should still win this game, but a 10 point margin sounds right. One thing I wanted to point out about the Pats. There's no way a Belichick coached team will ever get caught looking past an opponent. They might get caught spying on an opponent but never past one, not even with Indy on tap next week. But, what I do think will happen this game is Washington will bring their smash-mouth style of football to Foxboro and give the Pats all they can handle. This is the best possible scenario if Indy is going to have any chance of winning next week. They'll get a Patriot team that could be banged up and beaten down and that could make all the difference. I sure can't wait to find out!
Denver -3 vs Green Bay
What's Denver's one glaring weakness? That's right, it's their run defense. What's the single worst aspect of Green Bay's offense? That's right, it's their running game. If the Pack could only establish a running game, which the won't, they'd have a shot at winning this game, which they won't. Broncos by a td in a game where, for 3+ hours, we'll have to hear the Monday night gang sing the praises of one Brett Lorenzo Favre. Maybe their special "celebrity" guest will be Brett's old high school coach...gee that would be swell! You know what would be better? How about interviewing Favre's old pharmacist that helped feed his addiction to painkillers? Now there's a man I'd love to meet....
TPC
I feel better now. I feel rejuvenated, reinvigorated, rededicated, and slightly reintoxicated. I'm ready for a 10-3 week!!
Cleveland -3 @ St. Louis
Rams fans, think back to when the schedule came out. Admit it, you looked right past this game as an easy win on your way to a 10-6 season. I'm just as guilty as the rest of you. I would have mortgaged my house on the fact that, at week 8, the Rams would have a better record than the Browns. But somehow, and I have clue how he's done it, QB Derek Anderson has turned this team into an offensive juggernaut. They're 7th in total offense (354 yards/game) and 4th in scoring offense (27.8 pts/gm). At the other end of the spectrum are the Rams...30th in total offense (274 yds/gm) and dead last in scoring (11.3 pts/gm). The only thing the Rams lead the league in are turnovers with 23. Granted this team has been decimated by injuries but an Arena League team could put up a better fight than this. The return of RB Steven Jackson can only help the hapless offense but the injury bug has struck again. It looks like DE Leonard Little and C Brett Romberg will miss the game...definitely not what the doctor ordered for the Rams. Regardless of what the Rams can muster on offense, their defense won't be able to stop the aerial attack of the Browns. Anderson to WR Braylon Edwards should be a reoccurring theme Sunday. At least we won't have to watch this massacre on tv as the game surely won't sell out...Browns win big.
Detroit +5 @ Chicago
I'm only taking the points here because I think this game could turn out to be a 34-31 slugfest. Both teams are giving up way to many points to be taken seriously. We've previously discussed the demise of the once proud Chicago D, but Detroit's defense is just plain bad. Hell, they gave up 56 points to a Philly team that, without that 56 point game, would be averaging 12 points/game. We're talking Rams territory there. Look for the worst 4-2 team in football to fall at Soldier Field. Da Bears in a close game that I will not be watching.
Indianapolis -6.5 @ Carolina
So let me get this straight...the defending Super Bowl champs are undefeated while playing a tough schedule, they've overcome key injuries, and they've never played better football (3rd ranked offense and 3rd ranked defense) and nobody is talking about them?!?! And they might actually be underdogs next week to New England AT HOME?!? How does this happen? They only way they don't cover this game is if they do what I just did...look ahead to next week. I say they use the Panthers as an example and open up a can on them to set the tone for next week. I can't wait to see the line for Indy/NE - I'm pretty sure you already know which way I'll be going. Colts roll through Carolina on their way home.
New York Giants -9.5 @ Miami (London)
What's that you tell me? There's a game being played in London this week? Am I supposed to give a shit? Are the broadcasters going to have annoying accents? Will there be soccer-style chants in the stands? Better yet, will there be soccer-style fights in the stands? Even better, will there actually be people in the stands? Will any of the players be able to pass through customs? Is Ricky Williams still with the Dolphins? Does he know he can't bring a duffle bag full of pot onto a plane? So many questions, so little time. Roger Godell's plan to take over the world is almost complete. Although, I'm not sure why he decided to send the Giants and Dolphins as ambassadors. Giants roll in a laugher that nobody will be watching.
Oakland +7.5 @ Tennessee
Tennessee's average margin of victory this year....7.25. Coincidence? I think not. This is a lot of points to lay even though the Titans should win this game easily. If not for my rejuvenation and reintoxication, this would be a classic example of me taking the favorite just because I think they should win easily. Well, I'm not falling for that one anymore. Titans win by 7.25 points and Oakland barely covers.
Philadelphia -1 @ Minnesota
As long as the Vikings keep spoon-feeding the ball to Adrian Peterson, they will continue to struggle. There's no denying this kid is special so it's baffling why the Vikes don't get him more involved. Maybe they're trying to win the Matt Ryan/Andre Woodson/Brian Brohm sweepstakes. That's the only way I can explain it...they're tanking. And why wouldn't they really? They're not going anywhere this year and they need a franchise QB (Tavaris Jackson is clearly not the answer). Can you imagine the potential of this team with Peterson and Matt Ryan running the offense for the next 7-10 years? Minnesota's coaching staff obviously can. Philly in a low-scoring, boring game.
Cincinnati +3.5 vs Pittsburgh
I've all but written off the Bengals this season and had Pittsburgh pegged in this game. Then I dug a little deeper. The Steelers have been struggling on the road lately and the Bengals have played well at home. Coming off a big road loss to Denver, I just don't think Pittsburgh will be up for this game. Plus, Cincy is in a must-win situation. Desperation + Disappointment = Bengals win. See, I'm still an idiot.
Buffalo +3 @ New York Jets
The 1-6 Jets have done nothing to make me think they can beat anyone, let alone a team that has already beaten them once this year. This game could go either way and I could care less. Moving on....
San Diego -9.5 vs Houston
Two teams headed in opposite directions. I hate to give this many points because I think the San Diego players can't help but be distracted. But a 3 touchdown San Diego win feels about right.
Tampa Bay -3.5 vs Jacksonville
I just have one question...who the hell is Quinn Gray? All I know is he looked absolutely atrocious last week. The half point scares the hell out of me.....but......nope I can't do it. I can't take the Jags, not when Quinn Gray is prominently involved. That half point might come back to bite me on the ass but I can't rely on Quinn if I want to hit 10-3 this week. Bucs win 10-6.
New Orleans -1 @ San Francisco
This is that obvious game of the week the Sports Guy likes to talk about. So what do I do? I take the obvious team of course. Like I said last week, the Saints are going to make a run at the playoffs and the 49ers don't pose a threat to a Saints team that's firing on all cylinders. Reggie Bush is proving my point though that he's not an every down back. He's just not built for it. Saints roll on their way to a 9-7 record.
Washington +16.5 @ New England
This is the best defense the Patriots have faced all year, hands down. So, what do you get when you pit the #5 ranked D (Washington) against the #4 ranked D (Pats)? You get a closer game than most people think. The Patriots should still win this game, but a 10 point margin sounds right. One thing I wanted to point out about the Pats. There's no way a Belichick coached team will ever get caught looking past an opponent. They might get caught spying on an opponent but never past one, not even with Indy on tap next week. But, what I do think will happen this game is Washington will bring their smash-mouth style of football to Foxboro and give the Pats all they can handle. This is the best possible scenario if Indy is going to have any chance of winning next week. They'll get a Patriot team that could be banged up and beaten down and that could make all the difference. I sure can't wait to find out!
Denver -3 vs Green Bay
What's Denver's one glaring weakness? That's right, it's their run defense. What's the single worst aspect of Green Bay's offense? That's right, it's their running game. If the Pack could only establish a running game, which the won't, they'd have a shot at winning this game, which they won't. Broncos by a td in a game where, for 3+ hours, we'll have to hear the Monday night gang sing the praises of one Brett Lorenzo Favre. Maybe their special "celebrity" guest will be Brett's old high school coach...gee that would be swell! You know what would be better? How about interviewing Favre's old pharmacist that helped feed his addiction to painkillers? Now there's a man I'd love to meet....
TPC
Thursday, October 25, 2007
WEEK 8 - Rich
- Cleveland -3 St. Louis: I already have action on the Browns but am starting to have second thoughts on this. Bulger may have a breakout week. Jackson appears to be back for this game. The Browns can't play defense and haven't played well on the road. The Rams are way overdue....so yes indeed, give me the Browns. Over 45.5 is definitely looking good here.
- Chicago -5 Detroit: 5 points is a lot, but I definitely like the Bears to win this game. Coming off a big road win, the momentum should continue this week.
- Indianapolis -6.5 Carolina: On paper, the Colts should trounce the Panthers. Will they get caught looking ahead? My sources say no.
- NY Giants -9.5 Miami: An absolute no brainer here. The Giants offense absolutely cannot be stopped by the Fins. Slowly, I may be jumping on the Giants bandwagon....not there yet.
- Oakland +7.5 Tennessee: Do the Titans blowout anybody? This spread is way too high, VY or no VY.
- Minnesota +1 Philly: Possibly the toughest game on the board to handicap. The Eagles, on paper, are the better team. The Vikes at home will let Peterson loose....Vikes win on a late FG.
- Cincy +3.5 Pittsburgh: Rudi is out. The Steelers offense will put up 24-28 points against the awful Bengals defense. So what? This is a do-or-die game for the Bengals and at minimum this game will be close. Definitely taking the home dog here.
- Buffalo +3 NY Jets: Worst game of the week. I've spend the last 5 minutes trying to contemplate what the right play is here. The J-E-T-S are A-W-F-U-L; the Bills on the road??? This game could potentially be very competitive, but my Sunday Ticket won't touch that game.
- San Diego -9.5 Houston: I'm not sure how it's possible this line exists. As of right now the game "could" be played in San Diego this weekend. I'm assuming this line is indicative of a game played there? Even if this game is played in Kosovo, I'm taking the Chargers here. Huge difference in class here. (If this line is taken off the board and put back on due to a change of venue, this pick did not exist.)
- Jacksonville +3.5 Tampa Bay: Over/under of 32....that's all you need to know here. I'm not sure you can really make the over/under low enough. Because of the obvious lack of scoring (even with Garrard out) I'm taking the Jags. Bucs 3 Jags 0.
- New Orleans -1 San Francisco: This seems too obvious. "America's Team" seems to be getting their legs back and San Francisco is too beat up. Somehow, I can't make myself go up to the betting window and put my hard earned money on them....I can't put my finger on it.
- New England -16.5 Washington: With how well the Skins play defense, I can't believe this line is so high. Still, how do you pick against the most impressive team of my generation? The spread could be 27 and I'd still consider taking New England against 80% of the NFL. 7-0 ATS....riding the wave baby.
- Denver -3 Green Bay: It's a shame the Broncos beat Pittsburgh last week. I had this game circled on my calendar. If the Broncos don't pull that game out, at best this game would be a pick. Denver by double digits....and maybe this will cheer up Denver sports fans.
Breeder's Cup Saturday! If I have time, I'll post my wagers. Good luck.
Wednesday, October 24, 2007
NFL RE-CAP (West Coast Style)
Looking at last week's games, there really wasn't much to get excited about. The matchups didn't really get me that excited. Atlanta-New Orleans, KC-Oakland, NE-Miami, Tampa-Detroit....those to me were the worst ones. However, looking back it was actually a pretty good week of football. Houston made an improbable comeback only to blow it in the last minute of the game, Arizona made it very exciting down the stretch, Chicago-Philly turned out to be one of the better games of the year (although both offenses officially suck). And to cap it all off on Sunday Night, Denver came through in the clutch to knock off the Steelers. Great week of football...even though Jacksonville-Indy didn't live up to it's billing.
My competition, TPC, again got caught up in playing the favorites. 6-8 on the week, but absolutely nailed his STL-Seattle pick:
Seattle wins 42-6.
OK, so Seattle only scored 33....but c'mon that was pretty damned close.
My picks started off well, but I couldn't close out the week with a W in Sunday or Monday Night Football. 8-6 on the week. Real money wagering I went 4-1. Pats -16.5 (W), Seattle -8.5 (W), Cincy -6 (W), Baltimore/Buffalo U35 (W), Tennessee/Houston U38.5 (By far, L). I have one rule that I've been following pretty much all season. NO MATTER WHAT, bet the Pats and bet against the Rams. Together, you'd be 13-1 to this point if this was the only bet you made. I'm 14-8 in real money wagers for the year so as you can tell, it took me about 3 or 4 weeks to employ this strategery. I'm overdue for a bad week, but for those that want to ride the wave...
this week's live action includes:
Cleveland -3 St. Louis
Oakland +7.5 Tennessee
Cincy +3.5 Pittsburgh
New England -16.5 Washington (This might be where my strategery fails)
Denver -3 Green Bay (MNF)
.....and I'm still eyeballing some of the over/unders (waiting for a more accurate weather forecast----insert joke here)
STANDINGS
West Coast: 54-41-8
Midwestern Flavor: 42-53-8
World Series Game 1 is so unwatchable I'm flipping to Family Guy reruns.....I'm out.
My competition, TPC, again got caught up in playing the favorites. 6-8 on the week, but absolutely nailed his STL-Seattle pick:
Seattle wins 42-6.
OK, so Seattle only scored 33....but c'mon that was pretty damned close.
My picks started off well, but I couldn't close out the week with a W in Sunday or Monday Night Football. 8-6 on the week. Real money wagering I went 4-1. Pats -16.5 (W), Seattle -8.5 (W), Cincy -6 (W), Baltimore/Buffalo U35 (W), Tennessee/Houston U38.5 (By far, L). I have one rule that I've been following pretty much all season. NO MATTER WHAT, bet the Pats and bet against the Rams. Together, you'd be 13-1 to this point if this was the only bet you made. I'm 14-8 in real money wagers for the year so as you can tell, it took me about 3 or 4 weeks to employ this strategery. I'm overdue for a bad week, but for those that want to ride the wave...
this week's live action includes:
Cleveland -3 St. Louis
Oakland +7.5 Tennessee
Cincy +3.5 Pittsburgh
New England -16.5 Washington (This might be where my strategery fails)
Denver -3 Green Bay (MNF)
.....and I'm still eyeballing some of the over/unders (waiting for a more accurate weather forecast----insert joke here)
STANDINGS
West Coast: 54-41-8
Midwestern Flavor: 42-53-8
World Series Game 1 is so unwatchable I'm flipping to Family Guy reruns.....I'm out.
Friday, October 19, 2007
Week 7 Picks - TPC
Quick picks this week....
Washington -9 vs Arizona
Who's starting for the Cards this week, Neil Lomax? They are so beaten up I'd give 14 points in this game. By the way, is it just me or is Brenda Warner borderline hot now that she got rid of the buzz cut?? Sorry...it's the painkillers talking.
New Orleans -9 vs Atlanta
The Byron Leftwich era in Atlanta has officially begun. While this is a ton of points to give, I say the Saints open up a can on the Falcons this week. Saints by double-digits.
Baltimore - 3 @ Buffalo
Trent Edwards, meet the Baltimore Ravens' defense. You'll be seeing a lot of them this week. Look for Kyle Boller (fantasy alert!) to pick apart the Bills D...I can't believe I said that. Ravens roll.
Dallas -9.5 vs Minnesota
It's official, I'm taking all the damn favorites. Never a good sign! I would take the Vikes in this game if they didn't come out and publicly say Peterson will still split carries with Chester Taylor. Nobody can convince me this is a good idea. Cowboys win big in a statement game.
New England -16.5 @ Miami
The Dolphins generally play the Pats tough at home but I just can't bring myself to taking Cleo Lemon and Marty Booker. This game could get ugly early. Pats pound the fish...or mammals...or whatever.
San Francisco +9.5 @ New York Giants
Finally, an underdog. I like for the 9ers to keep this game close. The Giants should pull away late, but I'm looking for a late cover here. Here's to gambling...WOO HOO!
Tampa Bay+1 @ Detroit
Tough game here. My gut says go with the home team but Tampa just seems to find ways to win. I think they'll eek out another win this week. This feels like a 17-14 type game to me.
Tennessee -1 @ Houston
This game depends entirely on if VY is playing. Last reports say he's clos to playing so I'm going out on a limb here. Mark my words, though. If Vince doesn't play, the Titans will not win this game.
Oakland -1 vs Kansas City
KC looked rejuvenated last week but there's no way in hell I'm taking the road team in this rivalry. This should actually be an entertaining game between two very bad teams.
Cincinnati -6 vs New York Jets
This game is a fork in the road for these two teams, and they're inevitably headed in opposite directions. Not even Chad "Dead Man Walking" Pennington will be able to pick apart the Bengals' paper-thin defense. Look for Cincy to right the ship and pick up a much needed win.
Philadelphia -5 vs Chicago
To stick with the them of taking the home favorites, I'll take my chances with Philly in this one. I can see it now - Brian Westbrook pulls an Adrian Peterson and destroys any fantasy team in his path. I sure hope I'm not playing the team this week that owns him. Iggles by a td.
Seattle -9 vs St. Louis
Seattle wins 42-6.
Pittsburgh -3 @ Denver
I really don't think this game will be close. Big Ben is having a breakout year (another one) the Steelers look like a legit threat in the AFC. Funny but I'd feel more comfortable taking the Broncos if they still had Jake Plummer. Hmmm.....
Indianapolis -3 @ Jacksonville
This game should be close but the Colts will make David Garrard beat them....he's not capable of doing that. As long as Indy stops the run, they will roll. 21-13 Ponies sounds about right.
Sorry for the quick picks....busy week. This could very well be the week I go 0-14. It is very possible.
TPC
Washington -9 vs Arizona
Who's starting for the Cards this week, Neil Lomax? They are so beaten up I'd give 14 points in this game. By the way, is it just me or is Brenda Warner borderline hot now that she got rid of the buzz cut?? Sorry...it's the painkillers talking.
New Orleans -9 vs Atlanta
The Byron Leftwich era in Atlanta has officially begun. While this is a ton of points to give, I say the Saints open up a can on the Falcons this week. Saints by double-digits.
Baltimore - 3 @ Buffalo
Trent Edwards, meet the Baltimore Ravens' defense. You'll be seeing a lot of them this week. Look for Kyle Boller (fantasy alert!) to pick apart the Bills D...I can't believe I said that. Ravens roll.
Dallas -9.5 vs Minnesota
It's official, I'm taking all the damn favorites. Never a good sign! I would take the Vikes in this game if they didn't come out and publicly say Peterson will still split carries with Chester Taylor. Nobody can convince me this is a good idea. Cowboys win big in a statement game.
New England -16.5 @ Miami
The Dolphins generally play the Pats tough at home but I just can't bring myself to taking Cleo Lemon and Marty Booker. This game could get ugly early. Pats pound the fish...or mammals...or whatever.
San Francisco +9.5 @ New York Giants
Finally, an underdog. I like for the 9ers to keep this game close. The Giants should pull away late, but I'm looking for a late cover here. Here's to gambling...WOO HOO!
Tampa Bay+1 @ Detroit
Tough game here. My gut says go with the home team but Tampa just seems to find ways to win. I think they'll eek out another win this week. This feels like a 17-14 type game to me.
Tennessee -1 @ Houston
This game depends entirely on if VY is playing. Last reports say he's clos to playing so I'm going out on a limb here. Mark my words, though. If Vince doesn't play, the Titans will not win this game.
Oakland -1 vs Kansas City
KC looked rejuvenated last week but there's no way in hell I'm taking the road team in this rivalry. This should actually be an entertaining game between two very bad teams.
Cincinnati -6 vs New York Jets
This game is a fork in the road for these two teams, and they're inevitably headed in opposite directions. Not even Chad "Dead Man Walking" Pennington will be able to pick apart the Bengals' paper-thin defense. Look for Cincy to right the ship and pick up a much needed win.
Philadelphia -5 vs Chicago
To stick with the them of taking the home favorites, I'll take my chances with Philly in this one. I can see it now - Brian Westbrook pulls an Adrian Peterson and destroys any fantasy team in his path. I sure hope I'm not playing the team this week that owns him. Iggles by a td.
Seattle -9 vs St. Louis
Seattle wins 42-6.
Pittsburgh -3 @ Denver
I really don't think this game will be close. Big Ben is having a breakout year (another one) the Steelers look like a legit threat in the AFC. Funny but I'd feel more comfortable taking the Broncos if they still had Jake Plummer. Hmmm.....
Indianapolis -3 @ Jacksonville
This game should be close but the Colts will make David Garrard beat them....he's not capable of doing that. As long as Indy stops the run, they will roll. 21-13 Ponies sounds about right.
Sorry for the quick picks....busy week. This could very well be the week I go 0-14. It is very possible.
TPC
Wednesday, October 17, 2007
Lucky Week 7
A few very random thoughts before my Week 7 picks:
- I just spent the last 2 weeks in southern California. Perfect weather, gorgeous women, relaxing beaches. Maybe most people in the US can't afford to live specifically there, but in a very mobile country, is there any reason why so many people still live in cold, snowy, land-locked weather environments? I'm not beating up on my hometown (the Lou)....I'm talking about Minnesota, Wisconsin, North Dakota, Michigan, BUFFALO??! I really don't get it. I've visited all of the above (except Buffalo) and have no real explanation for this. What do these places have to offer? Maybe I'm spoiled, but I just can't imagine living the rest of my life like that.
- The Colorado Rockies. If you saw their miraculous run in a movie, you'd never believe it. Facing unbelievable pressure and even a 5 day "break", they've managed against all odds to keep rolling. No team in history in any sport has ever made a run like this. In baseball especially, a run like this just doesn't happen. This is like playing roulette and needing to win 22 straight times to break even. Betting on red 22 straight times, it comes through every time (except once). At what point, if ever, do you bet on black? The AL winner will be favored probably at -150/-160 or so. Even though on paper the Indians or Red Sox are clearly better, how can you possibly bet against the Rockies at this point?
- Gambling tip that may or may not make sense: All 3 expansion teams won the World Series as considerable underdogs in their only appearances. Florida (twice) and Arizona.
- What kind of shape is baseball in when a somewhat awful Monday Night Football game draws a 3 times larger audience than an NLCS playoff game on the same night at the same time?
- "I can't fathom taking the Giants in this game." Yes, I said that about the Giants-Falcons game. I elected to put my money on John Joseph Harrington instead. No alcohol or drugs were involved.
- There are a few "sneaky" not awful NFL teams. Washington (this one is out of the bag), Minnesota (Peterson), Oakland (I never thought I'd say this in 2007), and Cleveland (surprisingly good offense). I'm not ready to throw Kansas City, Houston, or Detroit into this category. Tennessee and Tampa Bay are no longer sneaky.
- On the flip side, the over-rated teams appear to be: Chicago, New Orleans, Seattle, NY Jets, Denver, and Baltimore. A huge difference in these teams from last year! The reason I mention this is ATS wagering. The general public maybe hasn't caught up to some of this yet.
ENOUGH.....time to make my picks for another victorious week over TPC.
- Arizona +9 Washington: The Cardinals were overdue for the disappointing game against Carolina. Now that people have abandoned the bandwagon, it's time for it to start rolling again (only leading to another fiery crash). Regardless of the QB situation, the Cards are not 9 points worse than the Skins. If Warner plays, maybe an upset special? Stay tuned.
- Atlanta +9 New Orleans: This spread is way too high. The Falcons are not as awful as they looked last week; the Saints aren't as good as they looked. The 9 point spread is a knee jerk reaction and is not reasonable. Crap....I just took John Joseph Harrington AGAIN.
- Baltimore -3 Buffalo: I don't care who plays QB for Baltimore, the Bills are not going to be able to score on Baltimore's D if they can't score on the friggin' Cowboys D on a Monday Night. Ravens (who I consider to be fairly over-rated) roll.
- Minnesota +9.5 Dallas: I'm 100% convinced of Peterson. He is the best RB to come out of a draft since LDT. There, I said it. The Boys will be looking to get their confidence back...and it could happen...but I'm betting Peterson opens up the Dallas D so that even Tarvaris Jackson can hit receivers. What a sight that will be!
- New England -16.5 Miami: Why on earth would you not take New England here? 6-0 ATS.
- NY Giants -9.5 San Fran: I'm not on the Giants bandwagon just yet. They still have serious defensive issues and a lousy head coach. However, the 49ers are banged up and the G-Men certainly do know how to score. Giants stomp the Niners.
- Tampa Bay +1 Detroit: I'm genuinely impressed by the work of Jon Gruden. This Bucs team looked awful last year and made very few improvements since then. Although unproven on the road, I feel this Bucs team is the dark horse in the NFC. In a wide open division, I'm taking them as division champs.
- Tennessee -1 Houston: I was having a tough time finding a game to bet on...until I came across this one. Look for VY to get back in the saddle and under 38.5 points. Do I smell a parlay?
- Oakland -1 Kansas City: Big rivalry game that the Chiefs have dominated for the last few years. Finally, the Raiders have a team to exact revenge on them. Look for LJ to struggle big time against the Raiders D. I'm pricing a 90% chance that this game (although competitive) will be very ugly. Raiders win in a crapfest.
- Cincinnati -6 NY Jets: I'm not sure I've ever been more excited to give 6 points with a 1-4 team. With a Jets team that can't even stop Philly's offense, this game should be over by halftime. Cincy wins 38-17.
- Chicago +5 Philly: I can't figure Philly out enough to give 5 points with them. The Bears were stunned last week and are nearly in "must win" mode. Maybe an upset brewing?
- Seattle -9 St. Louis: Maybe the Lambs could sign an arena football team to play offense for them? Seriously, I can't remember a more injured NFL team. I'm not betting on Seattle, merely betting against the 0-6, 1-5 ATS Lambs.
- Pittsburgh -3.5 Denver: Tricky game...it could end up being close. I would feel infinitely better about this if the spread was -3. The Steelers are clearly the better team, but playing on a cold Sunday Night in Denver is never easy. But then again, Denver is consumed by Rocky Mountain Fever....GO ROCKIES!
- Jacksonville +3 Indy: Monday Night Home Dog (AGAIN). Actually, that's not why I'm taking the Jags. Jacksonville tends to play the Colts very tough (especially at home). Both teams are playing very good football and this is a huge game in the division. This may be the only game next week I'm very excited for. Jags in an upset 23-20. Gambling note: The spread looks like it is heading for 3.5 or higher. If you want the Colts, get in now....if you want the Jags, wait until Monday.
There may not be many close games in Week 7, but who knows...it's the NFL!
Week 6 Results
A very anticlimactic finish for the two of us, but it's better than most weeks I've had. At least the NFL was more exciting this week than our picks. Here are some random thoughts on Week 6.
Weekly Totals
Rich - 5-6-2
TPC - 6-5-2
YTD Totals
Rich - 46-35-8
TPC - 36-45-8
Until next week....
TPC
- The Giants are a legit contender in the NFC. They beat up on a bad Falcons team but their defense has come together and looks very, very good.
- The Rams are the worst team in football. I honestly think all the injuries could save Linehan's job. Regardless, this hire was a complete and utter mistake. It's never too early to blow it up and start over.
- With a favorable schedule ahead, the Saints are going to make a run at a very winnable division and contend for a playoff spot.
- The Chargers are back with a vengeance. The rest of the AFC should be afraid of this team.
- Why do people keep kicking the ball to Devin Hester? I mean, seriously, I can't think of any circumstance where it would be ok to kick him the ball. Just kick the damn thing out of bounds and be done with it.
- Adrian Peterson will be, and currently is, the best player to come from the 2007 NFL draft. And, the Vikings have said he will continue to split carries with Chester Taylor. That's why the Vikings will continue to lose. That and abysmal QB play.
- The AFC is infinitely better than the NFC. We already knew that - NE/Dal helped solidify it.
- The Jags are the best team nobody knows about. Maybe Garrard was the answer in Jacksonville. Through 5 games he has not thrown a single INT.
- Vinny Testaverde is better than 75% of NFL quarterbacks....and he's 43!
- The Bears D is overrated. They've grown old quickly and can't stay healthy. But still, please keep kicking the ball to Devin Hester. A Hester return is one of the most exciting moments in any sport.
Weekly Totals
Rich - 5-6-2
TPC - 6-5-2
YTD Totals
Rich - 46-35-8
TPC - 36-45-8
Until next week....
TPC
Friday, October 12, 2007
Week 6 - TPC Style
I'm in need of a big week here, and I'm also looking for an excuse not to watch the NLCS. So here we go...Week 6...
Cincinnati -3 @ Kansas City
Great....The first game is the 'Obvious Pick of the Week' game. The game I should avoid at all costs. I guess the logical thing to do is go with the obvious pick. No seriously, I love this pick - Lock O' the Week. Cincy is 16-5-1 Against The Spread (ATS) in their last 22 road games and they desperately need a big win.
Houston +6.5 @ Jacksonville
Houston is very overrated and has beaten some bad teams this year. On the other hand, Jacksonville doesn't seem to score many points and does just enough to win. They should win this game but they won't cover.
Miami +4.5 @ Cleveland
I'm predicting a shootout here. I also think there will be two unlikely fantasy studs emerge from this ugly game - Jamal Lewis' backup RB Jason Wright and Miami QB Cleo Lemon. I'm actually considering starting Lemon over Carson Palmer this week. No seriously. Miami will pick up their first win and the Brady Quinn chants will reign from the sky like Cleo Lemon touchdown bombs.
Minnesota +6 @ Chicago
Tavaris Jackson...Kelly Holcomb....does it really matter? Of course it doesn't, but I don't like giving this many points. This game just has that feel of a 16-12 slugfest. Until the Bears get healthy again, I'll be taking the points, even if Tavaris Jackson is prominently involved. By the way, is it too early to say Adrian Peterson is going to be the best player to come out of the 2007 NFL draft? This guy is for real. Chicago wins a close one.
Philadelphia -3 @ NYJ
This Philly team is tough to get a read on. They hang 56 on a very bad Detroit D in week 3 then only manage 3 the next week against a decent Giants D. They were also held in check by Green Bay and Washington. So, the theme seems to be that they can only beat bad defensive teams. The Jets definitely fit that description with their 28th ranked defense. This is the sole reason I'm taking Philly here....I hate this pick. Philly by 3 TDs.
Baltimore -9.5 vs St. Louis
The Rams are more banged up than a hooker on a Saturday night. The following players are either out are will most likely miss this game: Stephen Jackson, Orlando Pace, Dante Hall, Dane Looker, Marc Bulger, Isaac Bruce, Corey Chavous. Baltimore's 4th ranked D could very easily pitch a shut-out this week. Ravens in a laugher.
Tennessee +3 @ Tampa Bay
Let me go on record as saying, I am not a Bucs believer. This team will show it's true colors this week when VY and the Titans come to town. I honestly can't believe the Bucs are favored in this game. Give me the Titans, the points, and an outright win. LET'S GO TITS....LET'S GO TITS!
Washington +3 @ Green Bay
I can't give up on my sleeper team of the year now, especially with the way they're playing defense. Look for the 4th ranked D to bottle up the Packer running game and force a few Favre turnovers. This should be a pretty close and exciting game and I like the Skins to come out on top.
Carolina +4 @ Arizona
I want nothing to do with Kurt Warner vs a fast defense. This could get ugly. I know this isn't the same Panther D we've seen in the past, but they still have the ideal pash rush to disrupt Old Man Warner. I like Carolina to win outright on the road.
New England -5.5 @ Dallas
I'm pumped for this game! It should be fun, high-scoring, and exciting! But, more importantly, it will further prove that the AFC is infinitely better than the NFC. Conferences aside, Randy Moss and Donte Stallworth are going to shread the Dallas secondary. And, since defense seems to be the theme this week, the 2nd ranked Pats D will be Tee'ing off on Romo. I like New England to pull away late and win easily.
Oakland +10 @ San Diego
The Chargers are hitting their stride and should win this game easily, but this line scares me. It's a lot of points to give up to a team that's averaging 25pts/game (more than the Chargers, incidentally). Like I said, the Chargers should win this game, but I'm still not sold on them just yet. Chargers win a close one with the Raiders threatening an upset.
Seattle -6.5 vs New Orleans
Things are going to get worse before they get better in New Orleans. I'll say it again...Reggie Bush is not an every-down back. Has anyone else noticed he only has one 100 yard rushing game in his 22 game career? Seattle will take over first in the NFC West this week and start to run away with the division. Seahawks by double digits.
NYG -3.5 @ Atlanta
Two important things to remember here.
1. The Giants are playing damn good football.
2. Joey Harrington is starting for the Falcons.
Giants win easily and I'll be asleep by halftime.
Have a great weekend everyone and Go Cubs...wait...
TPC
Cincinnati -3 @ Kansas City
Great....The first game is the 'Obvious Pick of the Week' game. The game I should avoid at all costs. I guess the logical thing to do is go with the obvious pick. No seriously, I love this pick - Lock O' the Week. Cincy is 16-5-1 Against The Spread (ATS) in their last 22 road games and they desperately need a big win.
Houston +6.5 @ Jacksonville
Houston is very overrated and has beaten some bad teams this year. On the other hand, Jacksonville doesn't seem to score many points and does just enough to win. They should win this game but they won't cover.
Miami +4.5 @ Cleveland
I'm predicting a shootout here. I also think there will be two unlikely fantasy studs emerge from this ugly game - Jamal Lewis' backup RB Jason Wright and Miami QB Cleo Lemon. I'm actually considering starting Lemon over Carson Palmer this week. No seriously. Miami will pick up their first win and the Brady Quinn chants will reign from the sky like Cleo Lemon touchdown bombs.
Minnesota +6 @ Chicago
Tavaris Jackson...Kelly Holcomb....does it really matter? Of course it doesn't, but I don't like giving this many points. This game just has that feel of a 16-12 slugfest. Until the Bears get healthy again, I'll be taking the points, even if Tavaris Jackson is prominently involved. By the way, is it too early to say Adrian Peterson is going to be the best player to come out of the 2007 NFL draft? This guy is for real. Chicago wins a close one.
Philadelphia -3 @ NYJ
This Philly team is tough to get a read on. They hang 56 on a very bad Detroit D in week 3 then only manage 3 the next week against a decent Giants D. They were also held in check by Green Bay and Washington. So, the theme seems to be that they can only beat bad defensive teams. The Jets definitely fit that description with their 28th ranked defense. This is the sole reason I'm taking Philly here....I hate this pick. Philly by 3 TDs.
Baltimore -9.5 vs St. Louis
The Rams are more banged up than a hooker on a Saturday night. The following players are either out are will most likely miss this game: Stephen Jackson, Orlando Pace, Dante Hall, Dane Looker, Marc Bulger, Isaac Bruce, Corey Chavous. Baltimore's 4th ranked D could very easily pitch a shut-out this week. Ravens in a laugher.
Tennessee +3 @ Tampa Bay
Let me go on record as saying, I am not a Bucs believer. This team will show it's true colors this week when VY and the Titans come to town. I honestly can't believe the Bucs are favored in this game. Give me the Titans, the points, and an outright win. LET'S GO TITS....LET'S GO TITS!
Washington +3 @ Green Bay
I can't give up on my sleeper team of the year now, especially with the way they're playing defense. Look for the 4th ranked D to bottle up the Packer running game and force a few Favre turnovers. This should be a pretty close and exciting game and I like the Skins to come out on top.
Carolina +4 @ Arizona
I want nothing to do with Kurt Warner vs a fast defense. This could get ugly. I know this isn't the same Panther D we've seen in the past, but they still have the ideal pash rush to disrupt Old Man Warner. I like Carolina to win outright on the road.
New England -5.5 @ Dallas
I'm pumped for this game! It should be fun, high-scoring, and exciting! But, more importantly, it will further prove that the AFC is infinitely better than the NFC. Conferences aside, Randy Moss and Donte Stallworth are going to shread the Dallas secondary. And, since defense seems to be the theme this week, the 2nd ranked Pats D will be Tee'ing off on Romo. I like New England to pull away late and win easily.
Oakland +10 @ San Diego
The Chargers are hitting their stride and should win this game easily, but this line scares me. It's a lot of points to give up to a team that's averaging 25pts/game (more than the Chargers, incidentally). Like I said, the Chargers should win this game, but I'm still not sold on them just yet. Chargers win a close one with the Raiders threatening an upset.
Seattle -6.5 vs New Orleans
Things are going to get worse before they get better in New Orleans. I'll say it again...Reggie Bush is not an every-down back. Has anyone else noticed he only has one 100 yard rushing game in his 22 game career? Seattle will take over first in the NFC West this week and start to run away with the division. Seahawks by double digits.
NYG -3.5 @ Atlanta
Two important things to remember here.
1. The Giants are playing damn good football.
2. Joey Harrington is starting for the Falcons.
Giants win easily and I'll be asleep by halftime.
Have a great weekend everyone and Go Cubs...wait...
TPC
Wednesday, October 10, 2007
VIVA FUTBOL AMERICANO
I'm sober and I have about 15 minutes to kill. Unfortunately, this may be the last sober 15 minutes I have until Saturday. Without further ado, my weekly football picks!
KC +3 Cincinnati-Even the Chiefs can score on the Bengals D!!!
Houston +6.5 Jacksonville-Look for a close low scoring game (No way, a Jags game???) I'm not unconvinced Houston couldn't pull off the outright win here.
Cleveland -4.5 Miami-UGH...somebody has to win? Miami sucks so....yeah...Browns it is.
Chicago -6 Minnesota-How strange was it to hear Lovie Smith talking about effective QB play after the Packers game? Even with Chicago's over-rated defense, the Vikes can't score.
NY Jets +3 Philly-I'm unimpressed with either team but am going to take the home dog.
St. Louis +9.5 Baltimore-Baltimore is clearly over-rated. The Lambs suck, but can surely keep it to single digits, no?
Tennessee +3 Tampa Bay-Strangely, I'm looking forward to this game. The Bucs are not near as bad as they looked last week at Indy, but give me the points with a Titans team that is scrappy enough to play with anybody (outside of New England).
Green Bay -3 Washington-The Pack choked last week. This is a young team that will rebound with a fury against the Skins. Can the Skins score more than 14 at Lambeau? I say no.
Carolina +4 Arizona-It's official. The Cardinals have a bandwagon. Look for the train to derail before it picks up steam. Panthers win outright.
New England -5.5 Dallas-I don't care if it's in Dallas, don't bet against the Pats until further notice.
Oakland +10 San Diego-The Chargers showed what they are really made of for 1 week. With that much talent, it's about time! Unfortunately they are giving too many points in a game where both teams hate each other. Oakland may not be awful? Stay tuned.
New Orleans +6.5 Seattle-I hate this pick, but at some point the Saints are going to show signs of life. I'm gambling it's this week.
Atlanta +3.5 NY Giants-Did we not pay attention last week? Monday Night home dog AND Atlanta has nothing to lose. I can't fathom taking the Giants here. Harrington throws for over 300 and oh yeah...the G-Men still can't tackle!
KC +3 Cincinnati-Even the Chiefs can score on the Bengals D!!!
Houston +6.5 Jacksonville-Look for a close low scoring game (No way, a Jags game???) I'm not unconvinced Houston couldn't pull off the outright win here.
Cleveland -4.5 Miami-UGH...somebody has to win? Miami sucks so....yeah...Browns it is.
Chicago -6 Minnesota-How strange was it to hear Lovie Smith talking about effective QB play after the Packers game? Even with Chicago's over-rated defense, the Vikes can't score.
NY Jets +3 Philly-I'm unimpressed with either team but am going to take the home dog.
St. Louis +9.5 Baltimore-Baltimore is clearly over-rated. The Lambs suck, but can surely keep it to single digits, no?
Tennessee +3 Tampa Bay-Strangely, I'm looking forward to this game. The Bucs are not near as bad as they looked last week at Indy, but give me the points with a Titans team that is scrappy enough to play with anybody (outside of New England).
Green Bay -3 Washington-The Pack choked last week. This is a young team that will rebound with a fury against the Skins. Can the Skins score more than 14 at Lambeau? I say no.
Carolina +4 Arizona-It's official. The Cardinals have a bandwagon. Look for the train to derail before it picks up steam. Panthers win outright.
New England -5.5 Dallas-I don't care if it's in Dallas, don't bet against the Pats until further notice.
Oakland +10 San Diego-The Chargers showed what they are really made of for 1 week. With that much talent, it's about time! Unfortunately they are giving too many points in a game where both teams hate each other. Oakland may not be awful? Stay tuned.
New Orleans +6.5 Seattle-I hate this pick, but at some point the Saints are going to show signs of life. I'm gambling it's this week.
Atlanta +3.5 NY Giants-Did we not pay attention last week? Monday Night home dog AND Atlanta has nothing to lose. I can't fathom taking the Giants here. Harrington throws for over 300 and oh yeah...the G-Men still can't tackle!
Week 5 Recap
With another impressive showing, Rich is starting to pull away fast. What can I say? I'm a sucker for the favorite. But, with youthful exuberance and a fistful of painkillers I'm ready to take on the world this week. Rich, your Polish ass is grass buddy!
Week 5
Rich - 9-5
TPC - 5-9
YTD Totals
Rich - 41-29-6
TPC - 30-40-6
Week 5
Rich - 9-5
TPC - 5-9
YTD Totals
Rich - 41-29-6
TPC - 30-40-6
Sunday, October 7, 2007
Addio Baseball
Wow! For the first time in quite a few years, I was genuinely looking forward to the MLB playoffs. I follow 2 teams. Cubs and Angels. Both teams had an exceptional year and I really thought that either one, if not both, could make a World Series run. Boy was I wrong! Both my teams got swept. The Cubs got outscored 16-6; The Angels 19-4. Combined, my favorite teams went 0-6 and got outscored 35-10. That was completely not fun. I had Angels tickets to Game 3 (today), Game 4 tomorrow, and ALCS Game 1. How completely disappointing and anti-climactic. I'm sick. I'm so done with baseball. OK, maybe until next year. The point of this article isn't to whine, it's to make valid point.
My point? Back in 2004, the Boston Red Sox ended an 86 year curse and won the World Series. As a Chicago Cubs fan, I was elated to see the "other" cursed team in baseball finally break through. The way they did it, priceless. Honestly, a movie could not have scripted it any better. It was one of the few rare moments in sports when reality was better than art. Since the World Series win, the Sox have enjoyed the largest jump in bandwagon fans in sports history. When they won the Series, it was "cute." Good story, the underdog came through. Three years later, their payroll nearly matches the Yankees and the number of Sox fans has increased exponentially. Hot chicks are now Sox fans b/c it's trendy. Between the trendy Sox fans and the Angels fans from OC, I've never seen as many good looking women at a sporting event. While this is never a bad thing in some ways, in others it ruins it.
I went to Game 3 today knowing that Sox fans travel well, and even though we're on the complete opposite side of the country, there would still be a fair share of Sox fans. When I arrived, I was amazed to see the number of Sox fans representing. A regular season Cubs-Cards game, I could maybe understand the strange proportion. But for a playoff game 3000 miles away from Boston against a non-rival??? The game had a great playoff atmosphere. No score until the 4th inning when Papi and Manny went back-to-back. From that point on, the situation continued to disintegrate. "Let's go Red Sox" was loud, clear, and more annoying as the day progressed. Beer poured more heavily and fights started to randomly break out in the stands. By the time the Sox put the game away in the 8th, my impression of the Sox had done a 180. The Red Sox are no longer cute; they are a monster.
Cocky, arrogant, downright rude...and oh yeah "trendy." I'm done with the Sox. While it's impressive what they've accomplished, in my opinion, you can now group them in with the NY Yankees. Both teams have a big payroll and will be a perennial force to be reckoned with, but it's kind of hard to root for either one anymore. Maybe the Sox are still just a bit more likable, but that will change over time. For those that haven't experienced Red Sox Nation trampeling your city, beware, they are a monster. In precisely one day, I went from sympathetic towards them to sheer hatred. Indeed, they were a completely better team than the Angels this year, but they've lost my respect. Unfortunately they have reached a critical point of no return.
With that said, I long for the day when people can say the same thing about the Chicago Cubs. The Cubs, like the Red Sox, have a certain national appeal that is hard to match. In fact, the parallels between both franchises is remarkable: both cursed, both going generations between championships, both with memorable collapses, both have big rivals that they always seem to come up short against, both with historic ballparks, both with nation-wide appeal, and both with (IMO) the best and most loyal fans in the game. The difference: The Red Sox broke their curse. One day, Cubs fans will be among the most hated in the game. I can't wait. The Cubbies came a long way this year. There is a lot to build upon. In the terrible NL Central, they should be solid favorites to repeat as division champs. Although I think I've said this before....
WAIT UNTIL NEXT YEAR!
Rich Kim
Senior Cubs Apologist
PS: Go Rockies!
My point? Back in 2004, the Boston Red Sox ended an 86 year curse and won the World Series. As a Chicago Cubs fan, I was elated to see the "other" cursed team in baseball finally break through. The way they did it, priceless. Honestly, a movie could not have scripted it any better. It was one of the few rare moments in sports when reality was better than art. Since the World Series win, the Sox have enjoyed the largest jump in bandwagon fans in sports history. When they won the Series, it was "cute." Good story, the underdog came through. Three years later, their payroll nearly matches the Yankees and the number of Sox fans has increased exponentially. Hot chicks are now Sox fans b/c it's trendy. Between the trendy Sox fans and the Angels fans from OC, I've never seen as many good looking women at a sporting event. While this is never a bad thing in some ways, in others it ruins it.
I went to Game 3 today knowing that Sox fans travel well, and even though we're on the complete opposite side of the country, there would still be a fair share of Sox fans. When I arrived, I was amazed to see the number of Sox fans representing. A regular season Cubs-Cards game, I could maybe understand the strange proportion. But for a playoff game 3000 miles away from Boston against a non-rival??? The game had a great playoff atmosphere. No score until the 4th inning when Papi and Manny went back-to-back. From that point on, the situation continued to disintegrate. "Let's go Red Sox" was loud, clear, and more annoying as the day progressed. Beer poured more heavily and fights started to randomly break out in the stands. By the time the Sox put the game away in the 8th, my impression of the Sox had done a 180. The Red Sox are no longer cute; they are a monster.
Cocky, arrogant, downright rude...and oh yeah "trendy." I'm done with the Sox. While it's impressive what they've accomplished, in my opinion, you can now group them in with the NY Yankees. Both teams have a big payroll and will be a perennial force to be reckoned with, but it's kind of hard to root for either one anymore. Maybe the Sox are still just a bit more likable, but that will change over time. For those that haven't experienced Red Sox Nation trampeling your city, beware, they are a monster. In precisely one day, I went from sympathetic towards them to sheer hatred. Indeed, they were a completely better team than the Angels this year, but they've lost my respect. Unfortunately they have reached a critical point of no return.
With that said, I long for the day when people can say the same thing about the Chicago Cubs. The Cubs, like the Red Sox, have a certain national appeal that is hard to match. In fact, the parallels between both franchises is remarkable: both cursed, both going generations between championships, both with memorable collapses, both have big rivals that they always seem to come up short against, both with historic ballparks, both with nation-wide appeal, and both with (IMO) the best and most loyal fans in the game. The difference: The Red Sox broke their curse. One day, Cubs fans will be among the most hated in the game. I can't wait. The Cubbies came a long way this year. There is a lot to build upon. In the terrible NL Central, they should be solid favorites to repeat as division champs. Although I think I've said this before....
WAIT UNTIL NEXT YEAR!
Rich Kim
Senior Cubs Apologist
PS: Go Rockies!
Friday, October 5, 2007
Week 5 - TPC Style
The Cubs have killed any chance of a legitimate column this week. Did I mention that I hate being a Cubs’ fan? Attention gamblers: Feel free to use my picks as an example of how NOT to bet...enjoy.
New Orleans -3 vs Carolina
The loss of McAllister is bigger than people think because I’m not convinced Reggie Bush is an every-down back. We’ll definitely see what he’s made of from here on out. The Saints have to turn this thing around some time, and this is the perfect week to do it. The Superdome will be rocking (David Carr will be shaky) and the Saints will still have plenty of firepower left to dismantle the streaky Panthers. Saints win big.
Kansas City +1 vs Jacksonville
I still can’t believe KC put a whoop knot on the Chargers last week. They definitely starting to turn things around, but do they have another big week in them? I say yes. WR Dwayne Bowe looks like the real deal, TE Tony Gonzalez hit paydirt for the first time, LJ finally cracked 100 yards, and Damon Huard is settling into the starting QB role. Did I mention Huard is 7-0 at home? The Chiefs won’t need much from Huard this week, just manage the game and no stupid mistakes. LJ will do the rest - the Jags have the 26th ranked run. My gut tells me to take Jacksonville but the stats say KC. Chiefs in a tough, low-scoring game.
Washington -3.5 vs Detroit
I’m sticking with my sleeper team. Washington has had 2 weeks to shake off blowing that Giants game. The Lions are overachieving right now and will lose a close game because Mike Martz will refuse to run the ball…again. Washington in a close one – that damn half a point scares the shit out of me!
Tennessee -9 vs Atlanta
This is a big number but, with VY involved, I feel pretty good about this one. Since taking the starting QB spot, Vince is 13-3 against the spread (ATS) and 9-1 ATS in his last 10 games. VY doesn’t deserve all the praise. The Tennessee defense has been stout, giving up only 15 points/game. The Falcons and QB Joey “Big Bust” Harrington won’t crack that number. Titans win big at The Coliseum.
Houston -5 vs Miami
Who knows what to make of these two teams? I was prepared to lay the points in this game but then I realized I was taking the Miami Dolphins. This team is bad, really bad. RB Ronnie Brown has finally put together consecutive outstanding efforts. He would be able to run against this Texans team but he won’t have a chance. Miami will fall behind early and will be forced to air it out more than they like. Could this be the game we finally see rookie QB John Beck? If not this week then some time soon. Nick Saban sure left a mess in Miami. Houston by a td.
Pittsburgh -6 vs Seattle
Seattle has had trouble putting points on the board – the complete opposite of what Pittsburgh has been able to do. Seattle is one of the better teams in the NFC but this game will show, once again, the complete stranglehold the AFC has on the league. This game should be close until the Steelers pull away late. Pittsburgh covers in a garbage time TD.
New England -16.5 vs Cleveland
Could this Pats team be one of the most dominate teams of our generation? Are we witnessing history? I think we could be. I’m not saying they’ll go 16-0 but, barring injury and another scandal, New England is going to come close. The only thing that worries me about this game is if the Pats are looking ahead to next week’s game at Dallas. If the Pats can stay focused, they’ll crush the Browns. New England puts up 40 points and covers easily.
Arizona -3.5 @ St. Louis
Here’s a list of NFL coaches that didn’t make it to their third season: Hugh Campbell – Hou, Bud Carson – Cle, Pete Carroll – NYJ, Bud Carson – Cle, Marty Feldman – Oak, Clem Crowe – Bal, Hugh Devore – Phi, Eddie Erdelatz – Oak, Rod Dowhower – Ind, Gunther Cunningham – KC, Dennis Erickson – SF, Chan Gailey – Dal, Kevin Gilbride – SD, Al Groh – NYJ, Wade Phillips – Den, Mike Mularkey – Buf, Ray Rhodes – GB, Buddy Ryan – Ari, Hank Stram – NO, Dick MacPherson – NE, (the list goes on and on). This year we can add Scott Linehan – Stl to the list. This was obviously a terrible hire and he is wasting the considerable talent on this team…he needs to be fired asap. Think about it like this….what happens if the Rams go 3-13 this year and Rams brass decide to give Linehan one more year? What happens if they start the 2008 season 0-6? He would undoubtedly get fired then. Why wait? This was a bad hire – cut the cord and move on. Arizona in a laugher.
NY Giants -3.5 vs NY Jets
This game sucks. I’ll take the home team and move right along.
Tampa Bay +10 @ Indianapolis
This line is way too high. TB has been rejuvenated by Jeff Garsssia and I think the loss of RB Carnell Williams to a blown knee could actually help this team. The 1-2 punch of RBs Michael Pittman and Earnest Graham will prove to be better than the brittle back know as the Cadillac. Indy wins a close game ( The Bucs could actually pull off an upset if RB Joseph Addai misses the game.)
Denver -1 vs San Diego
San Diego is crumbling from the inside out. Maybe it’s karma for firing a coach that went 14-2…who knows why this team has fallen so hard?! I’m not totally sold on the progress of QB Jay Cutler and RB Travis Henry went all Ricky Williams on us and failed another drug test. Henry might still be able to start as he is suing the league to block an imminent suspension. If Henry does miss the game, look for undrafted rookie RB Selvin Young to step up (fantasy alert – grab this guy immediately!). These two teams are evenly match so I’ll take the home team and coach Mike Shanahan over Norv “In over his head” Turner. Denver in a tight one.
San Francisco +3.5 vs Baltimore
Two teams that came into this season with a lot of hype and what do they have to show for it? A combined 4-4 record…ah the sweet smell of mediocrity. This is a tough game to pick. I’ve gone back and forth several times so I’m just going to flip a coin. Heads = SF and Tails = Baltimore. Heads it is.
Green Bay -3 vs Chicago
Oh how the might have fallen. The only thing more sure than the Madden Curse is the Superbowl loser hangover. I have no clue how or why this happens but it seems to rear it’s ugly head every year. Chicago is too banged up and their offense is totally inept at this point. Packers improve to 5-0 and Bears’ QBs Brian Griese, Rex Grossman, and Kyle Orton alternate possessions and combine for 4 picks and 25 sacks. Is Jim McMahon still alive? What about Kordell Stewart or Jim Miller?
Dallas -10 @ Buffalo
The Cowboys are the cream of the crop in the NFC. The only way they don’t blow out Buffalo is if they get caught looking ahead to next week (see: NE vs Cle). Man I can’t wait for that game! Can we just skip this game? If this were Tecmo Superbowl, I’d auto pilot skip this game and go straight to Week 6.
My picks can’t get any worse than last week…can they? The Cubs can come back from an 0-2 deficit…can’t they? I need to start drinking again.
TPC
New Orleans -3 vs Carolina
The loss of McAllister is bigger than people think because I’m not convinced Reggie Bush is an every-down back. We’ll definitely see what he’s made of from here on out. The Saints have to turn this thing around some time, and this is the perfect week to do it. The Superdome will be rocking (David Carr will be shaky) and the Saints will still have plenty of firepower left to dismantle the streaky Panthers. Saints win big.
Kansas City +1 vs Jacksonville
I still can’t believe KC put a whoop knot on the Chargers last week. They definitely starting to turn things around, but do they have another big week in them? I say yes. WR Dwayne Bowe looks like the real deal, TE Tony Gonzalez hit paydirt for the first time, LJ finally cracked 100 yards, and Damon Huard is settling into the starting QB role. Did I mention Huard is 7-0 at home? The Chiefs won’t need much from Huard this week, just manage the game and no stupid mistakes. LJ will do the rest - the Jags have the 26th ranked run. My gut tells me to take Jacksonville but the stats say KC. Chiefs in a tough, low-scoring game.
Washington -3.5 vs Detroit
I’m sticking with my sleeper team. Washington has had 2 weeks to shake off blowing that Giants game. The Lions are overachieving right now and will lose a close game because Mike Martz will refuse to run the ball…again. Washington in a close one – that damn half a point scares the shit out of me!
Tennessee -9 vs Atlanta
This is a big number but, with VY involved, I feel pretty good about this one. Since taking the starting QB spot, Vince is 13-3 against the spread (ATS) and 9-1 ATS in his last 10 games. VY doesn’t deserve all the praise. The Tennessee defense has been stout, giving up only 15 points/game. The Falcons and QB Joey “Big Bust” Harrington won’t crack that number. Titans win big at The Coliseum.
Houston -5 vs Miami
Who knows what to make of these two teams? I was prepared to lay the points in this game but then I realized I was taking the Miami Dolphins. This team is bad, really bad. RB Ronnie Brown has finally put together consecutive outstanding efforts. He would be able to run against this Texans team but he won’t have a chance. Miami will fall behind early and will be forced to air it out more than they like. Could this be the game we finally see rookie QB John Beck? If not this week then some time soon. Nick Saban sure left a mess in Miami. Houston by a td.
Pittsburgh -6 vs Seattle
Seattle has had trouble putting points on the board – the complete opposite of what Pittsburgh has been able to do. Seattle is one of the better teams in the NFC but this game will show, once again, the complete stranglehold the AFC has on the league. This game should be close until the Steelers pull away late. Pittsburgh covers in a garbage time TD.
New England -16.5 vs Cleveland
Could this Pats team be one of the most dominate teams of our generation? Are we witnessing history? I think we could be. I’m not saying they’ll go 16-0 but, barring injury and another scandal, New England is going to come close. The only thing that worries me about this game is if the Pats are looking ahead to next week’s game at Dallas. If the Pats can stay focused, they’ll crush the Browns. New England puts up 40 points and covers easily.
Arizona -3.5 @ St. Louis
Here’s a list of NFL coaches that didn’t make it to their third season: Hugh Campbell – Hou, Bud Carson – Cle, Pete Carroll – NYJ, Bud Carson – Cle, Marty Feldman – Oak, Clem Crowe – Bal, Hugh Devore – Phi, Eddie Erdelatz – Oak, Rod Dowhower – Ind, Gunther Cunningham – KC, Dennis Erickson – SF, Chan Gailey – Dal, Kevin Gilbride – SD, Al Groh – NYJ, Wade Phillips – Den, Mike Mularkey – Buf, Ray Rhodes – GB, Buddy Ryan – Ari, Hank Stram – NO, Dick MacPherson – NE, (the list goes on and on). This year we can add Scott Linehan – Stl to the list. This was obviously a terrible hire and he is wasting the considerable talent on this team…he needs to be fired asap. Think about it like this….what happens if the Rams go 3-13 this year and Rams brass decide to give Linehan one more year? What happens if they start the 2008 season 0-6? He would undoubtedly get fired then. Why wait? This was a bad hire – cut the cord and move on. Arizona in a laugher.
NY Giants -3.5 vs NY Jets
This game sucks. I’ll take the home team and move right along.
Tampa Bay +10 @ Indianapolis
This line is way too high. TB has been rejuvenated by Jeff Garsssia and I think the loss of RB Carnell Williams to a blown knee could actually help this team. The 1-2 punch of RBs Michael Pittman and Earnest Graham will prove to be better than the brittle back know as the Cadillac. Indy wins a close game ( The Bucs could actually pull off an upset if RB Joseph Addai misses the game.)
Denver -1 vs San Diego
San Diego is crumbling from the inside out. Maybe it’s karma for firing a coach that went 14-2…who knows why this team has fallen so hard?! I’m not totally sold on the progress of QB Jay Cutler and RB Travis Henry went all Ricky Williams on us and failed another drug test. Henry might still be able to start as he is suing the league to block an imminent suspension. If Henry does miss the game, look for undrafted rookie RB Selvin Young to step up (fantasy alert – grab this guy immediately!). These two teams are evenly match so I’ll take the home team and coach Mike Shanahan over Norv “In over his head” Turner. Denver in a tight one.
San Francisco +3.5 vs Baltimore
Two teams that came into this season with a lot of hype and what do they have to show for it? A combined 4-4 record…ah the sweet smell of mediocrity. This is a tough game to pick. I’ve gone back and forth several times so I’m just going to flip a coin. Heads = SF and Tails = Baltimore. Heads it is.
Green Bay -3 vs Chicago
Oh how the might have fallen. The only thing more sure than the Madden Curse is the Superbowl loser hangover. I have no clue how or why this happens but it seems to rear it’s ugly head every year. Chicago is too banged up and their offense is totally inept at this point. Packers improve to 5-0 and Bears’ QBs Brian Griese, Rex Grossman, and Kyle Orton alternate possessions and combine for 4 picks and 25 sacks. Is Jim McMahon still alive? What about Kordell Stewart or Jim Miller?
Dallas -10 @ Buffalo
The Cowboys are the cream of the crop in the NFC. The only way they don’t blow out Buffalo is if they get caught looking ahead to next week (see: NE vs Cle). Man I can’t wait for that game! Can we just skip this game? If this were Tecmo Superbowl, I’d auto pilot skip this game and go straight to Week 6.
My picks can’t get any worse than last week…can they? The Cubs can come back from an 0-2 deficit…can’t they? I need to start drinking again.
TPC
Week 5 - Rich's Pick
I'm making this short and to the point. It's 11 PM and I just got in from a full night of cocktails in Malibu...watching the Cubs lose AGAIN. Maybe since I'm currently intoxicated Paul will have a chance this week? Nah....
- Carolina +3 New Orleans.....Even with Carr, they can hang with the Saints.
- Jacksonville -1 Kansas City....no brainer, I don't care what happened last week.
- Detroit +3.5 Washington....Definitely do not bet this game, could go either way.
- Atlanta +9 Tennessee....Too many points, sorry Titan fans.
- Miami +5 Houston....which Houston team will show up?
- Seattle +6 Pittsburgh....this game should be close.
- New England -16.5 Cleveland....I'm not picking against the Pats again anytime soon.
- Arizona -3.5 St. Louis....Rams are too injured, even for the Carindals at home.
- NY Jets +3.5 NY Giants....Outside of NY, who cares?
- Tampa Bay +10 Indy....The Bucs play solid D, Colts struggle and win by less than a TD.
- San Diego +1 Denver....Even after last week's debacle, I'm not ready to dismiss San Diego.
- Baltimore -3.5 San Fran....2 over-rated teams, but the 49ers can't score on an average D.
- Green Bay -3 Chicago....lock of the week? The Pack roll.
- Buffalo +10 Dallas....Monday Night home dog!!!! 9/2 odds on outright? Nice!
Rich
Thursday, October 4, 2007
Week 4 Recap
See, what had happened was....I was under a lot of stress...I wasn't thinking clearly....I really don't have an excuse for my typical disgusting display last week. I should have my blogging license revoked - wait, anyone can blog and make crappy picks with no repercussions. Never mind then. Here's to at least a mediocre showing this week...Cheers!
Week 4
Rich - 7-7
TPC - 3-11
YTD Totals
Rich - 32-24-6
TPC - 25-31-6
TPC
Week 4
Rich - 7-7
TPC - 3-11
YTD Totals
Rich - 32-24-6
TPC - 25-31-6
TPC
Wednesday, October 3, 2007
Quick Picks by TPC
I'm going to say this once and for all. I hate being a Cubs fan. It is by far the most stressful, depressing, happiest, disappointing experience of my life. It's like a drug laced roller coaster ride. The highs are high and the lows are low. It is 100 times more stressful than planning my wedding, which has been a breeze compared to my relationship with the Cubbies.
Let me try to put this into perspective for everyone else. Being a Cubs fan is like dating a smoking hot chick that's a solid 9 in the looks department. Everything about her, physically, is perfect....cute face, great body, and a wardrobe that leaves little to the imagination. Not only is she drop-dead gorgeous but the sex, oh the sex is unreal. We're talking some too hot for TV, even late-night Skinemax, breaking headboards sex. The drawback is she constantly cheats on you and you know it, your friends know it, hell everyone knows it. In fact, she's even cheated on you with some of your friends. You're the laughingstock of the neighborhood. People openly belittle you, even right to your face. But, you keep her around because you know you'll never be able to match what she has to offer. That, my friends, is what it feels like to be a Cubs fan.
So here are my picks, but please remember I'm an emotional wreck right now. Proceed with caution.
ALDS - Red Sox over Angels
ALDS - Indians over Yankees
ALCS - Indians over Red Sox
NLDS - Cubs over Diamondbacks
NLDS - Rockies over Phillies
NLCS - Cubs over Rockies
World Series - Cubs over Indians - and the world will implode
There, I officially jinxed the Cubs and now they'll get swept in the first round. I'm sure Cubs fans will end up getting screwed anyways....but at least it will be the best screw of our lives.....or something.....
The People's Champs
Let me try to put this into perspective for everyone else. Being a Cubs fan is like dating a smoking hot chick that's a solid 9 in the looks department. Everything about her, physically, is perfect....cute face, great body, and a wardrobe that leaves little to the imagination. Not only is she drop-dead gorgeous but the sex, oh the sex is unreal. We're talking some too hot for TV, even late-night Skinemax, breaking headboards sex. The drawback is she constantly cheats on you and you know it, your friends know it, hell everyone knows it. In fact, she's even cheated on you with some of your friends. You're the laughingstock of the neighborhood. People openly belittle you, even right to your face. But, you keep her around because you know you'll never be able to match what she has to offer. That, my friends, is what it feels like to be a Cubs fan.
So here are my picks, but please remember I'm an emotional wreck right now. Proceed with caution.
ALDS - Red Sox over Angels
ALDS - Indians over Yankees
ALCS - Indians over Red Sox
NLDS - Cubs over Diamondbacks
NLDS - Rockies over Phillies
NLCS - Cubs over Rockies
World Series - Cubs over Indians - and the world will implode
There, I officially jinxed the Cubs and now they'll get swept in the first round. I'm sure Cubs fans will end up getting screwed anyways....but at least it will be the best screw of our lives.....or something.....
The People's Champs
Monday, October 1, 2007
Rock-tober
On a night when, so far, the best team in the NFL went on the road to take on a tough opponent for what promised to be a high scoring game, it was baseball instead that took the center stage. San Diego at Colorado. 1 game. Winner take all. What ensued over the entire 4 hour 14 minute game, was pure magic.
At 162 games long, the baseball season is a marathon. Not only did the Padres and Rockies need another game, they needed an extra 4 innings on top of that. This is equivalent to a 26 mile marathon ending up in a photo finish. Unbelievable! After the Padres took the lead 8-6 in the top of the 13th, Trevor Hoffman (the all time save leader), comes into the game to nail it down. Even in Colorado, the final 3 outs seem like a formality at this point. At the time, I mentioned to my friend, "What a run Colorado made to end the season! They have a lot to be proud of...it should be a good year for them next year." After falling behind in the count, Matsui doubles. Nice start, but now Hoffman will focus. Again after falling behind, Tulowitzki doubles home Matsui. Holy @#%^! That happened fast. The Rockies are down by 1 with the tying run on 2nd, nobody out??! Immediately, Holliday triples off the right field wall. I can't believe what I'm seeing. After intentionally walking Helton, Jamey Carroll (a defensive replacement) lines to right. Racing home....Holliday dives into home and....safe???
I can't figure out the delayed call here. Why did this happen? Was this because the umpire was going to call him out if Barrett (cancer) would've come up with the ball? Did Holliday's hand touch home? The replay appears that Barrett blocked him off of the plate....so was this part of the delayed call? Regardless of what actually happened 2 things are obvious here:
1. The Rockies, deservedly, get a chance to take this improbable winning streak all the way. If the Cubs weren't involved, I'd definitely be pulling for them.
2. Baseball absolutely needs to incorporate some form of instant replay. For fun, assume that we can prove Holliday's hand never touched the plate. In this day and age, we are OK ending the Padres season like this? Not only is this extremely unfair to Padres fans, it potentially costs the team millions in revenue from hosting playoff games. Because baseball is still dictated by "purists" who are afraid of change, instant replay may still be a few years away....if ever. What is it going to take for this to change? Another blown call like Don Denkinger (1985 World Series)?? Hopefully this extremely close call at the plate will open up the debate in the offseason. If your team's season ended like the Padres just did, would you be bitter? You bet your ass I would be.
Enough ranting, let's make playoff predictions.
LA Angels vs. Boston
Before I talk about this...I just wanted to bring up my AL East prediction from June 17:
Prediction: The Yankees nearly nudge out Boston before the end of the season, but Boston hangs on and wins the division by 2 games.
Thank you.
I make no secret about it. My 2 favorite teams are the Cubs and the Angels. For those that haven't gotten to see the Angels play, you are missing out on a team that plays baseball the "old fashioned" way. In fact, they are the closest thing to some of the Cardinal teams of the 1980s that I've ever seen. Examples: Lots of speed (Coleman-Smith etc.) vs. (Figgins-Willits etc.), a lack of power hitting with 1 "real" power hitter (Jack Clark) vs. (Vladdy), solid starting pitching (Tudor-Cox-Forsch) vs. (Lackey-Escobar-Weaver)...and used to be Colon, dominant closers (Todd Worrell) vs. (K-Rod). Both teams played the game hard and focused on the fundamentals. That's baseball as I learned it. Boston, however, matches up very well against the Angels. If the Angels can't earn a split in Boston, this series is over. Since I have tickets to Games 3 and 4, I'm going to take the Red Sox in 5.
NY Yankees vs. Cleveland
Cleveland had an outstanding season. The team, somewhat quietly, rattled off this most wins in the league (with Boston). Solid starting pitching and timely hitting...it's hard to ask for more. Unfortunately, they went 0-6 against the Yanks this year. Although the postseason is completely different than the regular season, the Yankees have the talent and experience necessary to advance. Yanks in 4. We're lined up for yet another Red Sox-Yankees playoff clash. As much I want to see this not happen, it seems imminent.
Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona
Seriously, of all the teams in MLB to quietly be solid, the D-Backs take the cake. Leading the NL in wins, the D-Backs showed that outstanding pitching can take you to the postseason. Is their pitching good enough to take it one step further? I say no. Maybe I'm picking with my heart, but I could care less. The Cubs are solid. Zambrano, Lilly, Marquis are good enough to keep the Cubs in the game and offensively, the Cubs are good enough to outslug most opponents (excluding Philly and Colorado). In a very tough, and mostly low scoring series, I'm taking the Cubs in 4 games to tame the serpents.
Colorado vs. Philly
Wow! The 2 hottest teams in all of baseball in a showdown. This series should be outstanding. Can either team stop the other from scoring? Both teams are somewhat one-dimensional but the Phillies hit just a little bit better. The Rockies pitching , to offset some of the Phillies better hitting, is just a little bit better. Expect several 9-7, or similar, final scores. The Rockies have to be exhausted right? The best stretch run in recent memory can't keep it going....Philies in 4.
So there you have it. Boston-Yanks and Cubs-Phillies. Looking at the NL, I'd like to meet the person that would EVER think the D-Backs, Cubs, Rockies, and Phillies were going to represent the NL this year. In a strange year, I'm taking the Cubs coming out of this mess to square off against the Yanks. After that....who knows? At least maybe I can know that I've at least gotten to see the Cubbies play in the World Series before I die. Maybe it's a pipe dream? But who would've thought they would be in this position? All I know is:
1. The Mets blew a lead of historic proportions.
2. The Indians won the most games in MLB this year.
3. The Rockies won 14 of 15 and came back from down 2 runs in the bottom of the 13th against the most prolific closer in baseball history to make the playoffs.
If any of the above is possible, a Cubs World Series is definitely not out of the question.
At 162 games long, the baseball season is a marathon. Not only did the Padres and Rockies need another game, they needed an extra 4 innings on top of that. This is equivalent to a 26 mile marathon ending up in a photo finish. Unbelievable! After the Padres took the lead 8-6 in the top of the 13th, Trevor Hoffman (the all time save leader), comes into the game to nail it down. Even in Colorado, the final 3 outs seem like a formality at this point. At the time, I mentioned to my friend, "What a run Colorado made to end the season! They have a lot to be proud of...it should be a good year for them next year." After falling behind in the count, Matsui doubles. Nice start, but now Hoffman will focus. Again after falling behind, Tulowitzki doubles home Matsui. Holy @#%^! That happened fast. The Rockies are down by 1 with the tying run on 2nd, nobody out??! Immediately, Holliday triples off the right field wall. I can't believe what I'm seeing. After intentionally walking Helton, Jamey Carroll (a defensive replacement) lines to right. Racing home....Holliday dives into home and....safe???
I can't figure out the delayed call here. Why did this happen? Was this because the umpire was going to call him out if Barrett (cancer) would've come up with the ball? Did Holliday's hand touch home? The replay appears that Barrett blocked him off of the plate....so was this part of the delayed call? Regardless of what actually happened 2 things are obvious here:
1. The Rockies, deservedly, get a chance to take this improbable winning streak all the way. If the Cubs weren't involved, I'd definitely be pulling for them.
2. Baseball absolutely needs to incorporate some form of instant replay. For fun, assume that we can prove Holliday's hand never touched the plate. In this day and age, we are OK ending the Padres season like this? Not only is this extremely unfair to Padres fans, it potentially costs the team millions in revenue from hosting playoff games. Because baseball is still dictated by "purists" who are afraid of change, instant replay may still be a few years away....if ever. What is it going to take for this to change? Another blown call like Don Denkinger (1985 World Series)?? Hopefully this extremely close call at the plate will open up the debate in the offseason. If your team's season ended like the Padres just did, would you be bitter? You bet your ass I would be.
Enough ranting, let's make playoff predictions.
LA Angels vs. Boston
Before I talk about this...I just wanted to bring up my AL East prediction from June 17:
Prediction: The Yankees nearly nudge out Boston before the end of the season, but Boston hangs on and wins the division by 2 games.
Thank you.
I make no secret about it. My 2 favorite teams are the Cubs and the Angels. For those that haven't gotten to see the Angels play, you are missing out on a team that plays baseball the "old fashioned" way. In fact, they are the closest thing to some of the Cardinal teams of the 1980s that I've ever seen. Examples: Lots of speed (Coleman-Smith etc.) vs. (Figgins-Willits etc.), a lack of power hitting with 1 "real" power hitter (Jack Clark) vs. (Vladdy), solid starting pitching (Tudor-Cox-Forsch) vs. (Lackey-Escobar-Weaver)...and used to be Colon, dominant closers (Todd Worrell) vs. (K-Rod). Both teams played the game hard and focused on the fundamentals. That's baseball as I learned it. Boston, however, matches up very well against the Angels. If the Angels can't earn a split in Boston, this series is over. Since I have tickets to Games 3 and 4, I'm going to take the Red Sox in 5.
NY Yankees vs. Cleveland
Cleveland had an outstanding season. The team, somewhat quietly, rattled off this most wins in the league (with Boston). Solid starting pitching and timely hitting...it's hard to ask for more. Unfortunately, they went 0-6 against the Yanks this year. Although the postseason is completely different than the regular season, the Yankees have the talent and experience necessary to advance. Yanks in 4. We're lined up for yet another Red Sox-Yankees playoff clash. As much I want to see this not happen, it seems imminent.
Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona
Seriously, of all the teams in MLB to quietly be solid, the D-Backs take the cake. Leading the NL in wins, the D-Backs showed that outstanding pitching can take you to the postseason. Is their pitching good enough to take it one step further? I say no. Maybe I'm picking with my heart, but I could care less. The Cubs are solid. Zambrano, Lilly, Marquis are good enough to keep the Cubs in the game and offensively, the Cubs are good enough to outslug most opponents (excluding Philly and Colorado). In a very tough, and mostly low scoring series, I'm taking the Cubs in 4 games to tame the serpents.
Colorado vs. Philly
Wow! The 2 hottest teams in all of baseball in a showdown. This series should be outstanding. Can either team stop the other from scoring? Both teams are somewhat one-dimensional but the Phillies hit just a little bit better. The Rockies pitching , to offset some of the Phillies better hitting, is just a little bit better. Expect several 9-7, or similar, final scores. The Rockies have to be exhausted right? The best stretch run in recent memory can't keep it going....Philies in 4.
So there you have it. Boston-Yanks and Cubs-Phillies. Looking at the NL, I'd like to meet the person that would EVER think the D-Backs, Cubs, Rockies, and Phillies were going to represent the NL this year. In a strange year, I'm taking the Cubs coming out of this mess to square off against the Yanks. After that....who knows? At least maybe I can know that I've at least gotten to see the Cubbies play in the World Series before I die. Maybe it's a pipe dream? But who would've thought they would be in this position? All I know is:
1. The Mets blew a lead of historic proportions.
2. The Indians won the most games in MLB this year.
3. The Rockies won 14 of 15 and came back from down 2 runs in the bottom of the 13th against the most prolific closer in baseball history to make the playoffs.
If any of the above is possible, a Cubs World Series is definitely not out of the question.
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