AFC East:
WIN-Buffalo (over 6 wins) Finish 7-9. Dick Jauron did a great job getting this team to 7 wins.
WIN-New England (over 11.5 wins) Finish 16-0. Toooooo easy.
WIN-NY Jets (under 8 wins) Finish 4-12. "If, I mean, WHEN Pennington gets hurt in Week 3, this team will not be able to hold it's own. Take the under, I smell a 6-10 year at best." Yes, I'm a genius.
WIN-Miami (under 7.5 wins) Finish 1-15. Way, way to easy.
AFC North:
LOSS-Baltimore (over 9.5 wins) Finish 5-11. OK, I missed this one by a mile. The Ravens lost to the Dolphins. Enough said. They now look years away from getting back on track after 07.
LOSS-Cincy (over 9 wins) Finish 7-9. I thought this was going to be the toughest division in the NFL this year and still took the over here, big mistake on both counts.
LOSS-Cleveland (under 6 wins) Finish 10-6. Seriously, could anybody have seen this coming? The Browns have a lot to work on for next year (defense) but now have an expendable QB for the upcoming draft. Stay tuned!
WIN-Pittsburgh (over 9 wins) Finish 10-6. Even after losing 3 of their last 4, the Steelers still easily beat the number.
AFC South:
WIN-Indy (over 11 wins) Finish 13-3. "This perennial powerhouse will not have a Super Bowl letdown year." OK, I'm not that smart by saying it, but at the beginning of the season a lot of "experts" thought otherwise. For once, this team is now flying under the radar. The Colts will have a tough AFC semi-final matchup against San Diego. If they can get on a roll there, watch out Patriots!
WIN-Jacksonville (over 8 wins) Finish 11-5. Every year, the Jags quietly slip into the playoffs with double digit wins. This pick was not very difficult.
WIN-Tennessee (over 7 wins) Finish 10-6. The Titans started and finished the season strong. In the middle? Not so good. For this team to improve, VY must mature as a QB and learn to throw from the pocket.
AFC West
WIN-Denver (under 9.5 wins) Finish 7-9. With an inexperienced Cutler at QB, this one turned out to be an easy pick.
WIN-Kansas City (under 7.5 wins) Finish 4-12. There were way too many question marks entering the season....and after the Brody Croyle debacle, there may be even more after 07.
WIN-Oakland (under 5 wins) Finish 4-12. Seriously, would anybody bet the Raiders to win 6?
WIN-San Diego (over 10.5 wins) Finish 11-5. My pre-season pick to win it all, this team finished very strong. With all the pressure on the Pats, who knows? Maybe they return the favor this year?
NFC East
WIN-Dallas (over 9.5 wins) Finish 13-3. This team over-achieved a bit this year. Probably the best team in the NFC with home field advantage, they'll be pretty hard to knock off at home in the playoffs. Looking back at their schedule, they faced pretty weak competition. The Giants (twice) and Packers at home are their signature wins.
WIN-NY Giants (over 8 wins) Finish 10-6. The G-men had a completely soft schedule. It was easy to see before the season....I'm not sure why everybody was surprised when the Cowboys killed them in Week 10.
WIN-Philly (under 9 wins) Finish 8-8. With so many close losses, I may be a little lucky to win this one. With a healthy McNabb, this team will be back next year!
LOSS-Washington (under 7.5 wins ) Finish 9-7. I completely changed my mind on this team. With Todd Collins at the helm, they may be better off. This could be a dark horse for a playoff run!
NFC North
WIN-Chicago (under 10 wins) Finish 7-9. "I'm also pricing a 70% chance we'll see Brian Griese take over the starting job by season's end." Not only that, Griese was so bad that Sexy Rexy got his job back.
WIN-Detroit (over 6 wins) Finish 7-9. If the Lions could've made something from their 6-2 start, they could've been a fun surprise like the Cleveland Browns. Maybe next year.
LOSS-Green Bay (under 7.5 wins) Finish 13-3. Yeah, I screwed the pooch here. Unbelievable, Favre pulled this team together for a great season. I guess when you're wrong, you might as well go down in flames.
WIN-Minnesota (over 7 wins) Finish 8-8. I hated this pick b/c of the horrible QB situation but, " The Vikes Adrian Peterson could turn out to be the steal of last year's draft. This kid is going to be good." Still, for this team to have a future, get a QB!
NFC South
WIN-Atlanta (NL) Finish 4-12. "I don't care what the number is, I'm taking the under." Since the number turned out to be 5.5, I'm going to give myself credit for the win.
WIN-Carolina (under 9 wins) Finish 7-9. Honestly, I'm not sure how this team won 7 games.
LOSS-New Orleans (over 9 wins) Finish 7-9. My preseason pick to win the NFC, this turned out to be a no-brainer that went bad.
LOSS-Tampa Bay (under 7 wins) Finish 9-7. Garcia turned out to be a little better than I gave him credit for.
NFC West
LOSS-Arizona (under 7.5 wins) Finish 8-8. Who knew Kurt Warner still had it in him?
LOSS-Seattle (under 9 wins) Finish 10-6. I'm still not in love with this team, although they do play very well at home.
WIN-San Fran (under 8 wins) Finish 5-11. Always bet against the trendy team.
LOSS-St. Louis (over 7.5 wins) Finish 3-13. At least my home town team gets a good draft pick!
OVERALL: 21-11. Too bad I didn't bet each and every one of these predictions!
ATS FINAL STANDINGS (after 16 weeks):
West Coast Style: 119-111-10
Midwestern Flavor: 116-114-10
Week 17 ATS
West Coast Style: 7-8-1
2007 Regular Season (West Coast): 126-119-11
Due to my competition Midwestern Flavor's busy holiday schedule, the competition ended one week early. Since I was in the lead and my opponent is soon to be married, he is clearly the loser!
Stay tuned for 2007 NFL playoff predictions and analysis on the West Coast edition of the Bullpen Catcher.
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