Wednesday, September 19, 2007

Week 2 Recap - SPORTSBOOK 101

Again, Week 2 was not a disaster...so definitely a moral victory! 12 of 16 underdogs covered, and even though my competition had far different picks than I did, we both ended up at 8-7-1 for the week. The day couldn't have started better for me, but got progressively worse and carried over into Monday Night. 2-3 in bets I actually made: San Fran +3 St. Louis (W), Atlanta +10.5 Jacksonville (W), Miami +4 Dallas (L), Seattle -3 Arizona (L), San Diego +3.5 New England (L). By some of the lines in Week 2, it appeared Vegas didn't know what they were doing. Jacksonville favored by double digits? Carolina by a TD over Houston? Washington getting a similar amount of points last night? 2 things here:
1. The first 2-4 weeks of the NFL season are pretty hard to set a line for since teams have not established how good they are. Example: Houston. Before the season, this was a 5 or 6 win team at most...now?? It's not out of the question that this team makes the playoffs.
2. The lines are merely the "market price" for action on a game. The line is set so a fairly similar amount of money comes in on both sides. If the action is skewed to one side, the line moves. Why did Jacksonville stay favored by 10.5? Because enough bettors were bringing in action for this price.

An important note about the above...bettors (by a decent margin) tend to bet on the favorite. For this reason, a lot of spreads are artificially higher than they should be AND in a normal year more underdogs beat the spread than favorites. The bottom line of this equation is that the casinos make a KILLING in weekends like Week 2. When the dogs come in, profits soar. 3 reasons for this:
1. 10% vig built in for all action
2. Underdogs (normally) cover more than favorites in a given year (and bettors tend to play favorites instead).
3. When the underdogs do come in like they do in Week 2, nearly everybody who plays a parlay or teaser card, loses. Parlay cards and prop bets are huge money makers for the books.

Now that we've established some of the doctrine in Sportsbook 101, it's time to move on to Week 3. The predictions will come out Friday, but looking at the schedule I couldn't help but noticing a lot of tough calls next week:
  • San Diego -4.5 Green Bay....how good is Green Bay? Have they been underestimated? Are the Chargers over-rated?
  • KC -3 Minnesota....seriously, 1 of these teams has to win?
  • NE -16.5 Buffalo....my God that's a lot of points.
  • Denver -3 Jacksonville...Wow, 2 teams that are completely overestimated.
  • Oakland -3 Cleveland....Another game where it's unfortunate somebody will win.
  • Chicago -3 Dallas....Another great Sunday Night game.
  • New Orleans -4.5 Tennessee....you should already know who I'm taking! V-Y-M-V-P...OK maybe in a couple years.

This should be a tough, but interesting week.

Rich Kim

Senior Degenerate Gambler

Thursday, September 13, 2007

WEEK 2 - Rich's Pick

Week 1 was not a disaster, so that's always a moral victory. 7-7-2 overall, 4-2 in games actually bet. Last week's wagers: Jets +6.5 Pats (L), Philly -3 Green Bay (L), Houston -3 KC (W), Tennessee +7 Jacksonville (W), San Diego -6 Chicago (W), Seattle -5.5 Tampa Bay (W). Funny story....with most of the 10:00 games over with, the only early game left I had action on was Philly-Green Bay. I was quietly confident that I would win this bet. Unfortunately Green Bay drove down the field in the waning seconds and lined up to kick a field goal. The ball was snapped...and then....it was like the Sopranos finale ending all over again. BLACK! Nothingness. Finally an error message appeared saying my access card was invalid. Seriously, this was the worst timing imaginable. After a lengthy hold time, I was told it was a national problem and at least ended up with 3 free months of Showtime. If this happens again, my blood pressure may reach Madden levels. Blood may squirt out my ears. So...if my Week 3 picks are not made, may the record show DirecTV killed me. Anyways, on to my Week 2 selections.

Pittsuburgh -10 Buffalo
I certainly don't love this pick, but I think the Steelers are at least a TD better at home against Buffalo....and probably more. J-Loss on the road against a solid Steelers defense pushes me to take the Steelers even with a double digit spread.

Cincinnati -6.5 Cleveland
How can you possibly bet on Cleveland in this game? From Week 1, what makes anybody think the Browns can play with a potential playoff team like the Bengals. Although the spread is now 7 in most books here in Vegas, the Bengals are still the better play.

Tennessee +7 Indianapolis
It killed my competition to pick against the Titans last week....and we all saw what happened. On paper, the Colts are clearly the better team, but remember last year? The Titans split the season series playing them tough both games. The Titans are still HOT, so I'm taking them here to at least play the Colts tough. Either I'm going to look like a genius here or a complete idiot...unsure which.

Houston +6.5 Carolina
The Texans played a horrible Chiefs team in Week 1, so it's hard to tell how good they really are. I could be going out on a limb here but I think this is at least an 8-8 team. The Panthers, to me, are similar. Logically, since the AFC is a far better conference....an average AFC team is equal to or better than an average NFC team. http://www.richslogic.com

San Francisco +3.5 St. Louis
The Rams looked awful in their opener, the 49ers not much better. With an awful Rams run defense, Frank Gore should run all over the Rams. Lock of the week? I already have action on it!

NY Giants -1 Green Bay
UGH. The Giants w/o Manning and 68 year old Favre on the road. This will be a completely ugly game...taking the G-men only b/c the game is in NY.

Atlanta +10.5 Jacksonville
Although the score did not show it, the Falcons didn't play awful in Week 1. With Harrington having a week under his belt, the offense will put some decent numbers on the board. The Jaguars couldn't score more than 10 last week on the Titans defense? Seriously? Jags win the game, but not by double digits.

New Orleans -3.5 Tampa Bay
The Saints offense not showing up for Week 1 is an unsolved mysteries. Was this a fluke? The team just didn't seem in sync all game long. If, and only if, the offense decides to play like it did all last year, the Saints win going away. The Bucs looked pretty bad in their debut and are up against my NFC Super Bowl pick....no way I'm taking the Bucs here.

Detroit -3 Minnesota
The Lions looked good in Week 1?! Wait, they played the Raiders. But still, the team has hope in the awful NFC North. The Vikes have a QB that should end up in the arena football league in about 3 years...and Peterson isn't enough alone to win on the road. Detroit starts 2-0 and gets a few people "buzzing" about being a sleeper team this year.

Miami +3.5 Dallas
OK, the 1/2 point swayed me. I think this game should be close...especially with how bad the Dallas D looked last week. Fins may end up winning this game outright.

Seattle -3 Arizona
This is the week that Seattle shows it is still the class of the NFC West. The crowd in Arizona should be amped, but Alexander and Hasselbeck remind them, after all, they are cheering for the ARIZONA CARDINALS. Seattle by 2 TD.

NY Jets +10 Baltimore
Plain and simple, 10 points is way too many to give to the J-E-T-S. So what if they looked bad against the Pats, was it really that much of a shocker? Look for a low scoring (total at 33.5) game that the Ravens squeak out.

Oakland +10 Denver
I did it again. I picked the Raiders. Although they could not even beat the friggin' Lions at home, I'm convinced the Raiders D will hold Cutler in check for the most part. Denver coasts to a 7 point win.

Kansas City +12 Chicago
I can't believe I just picked the Chiefs after how bad they looked in Week 1. I'm just that completely not sold on the Bears. To recap my picks so far, I've decided to take the Chiefs, Raiders, Jets, and Falcons all as double digit dogs. If I go 0-4 here, I'm going to be the source of great ridicule (and rightfully so) in next week's column.

San Diego +3.5 New England
Easily the game of the week, I'm still convinced San Diego has the most talent in the league. Couple the talent with a desperate revenge for last year's playoff suckout, and the Chargers will be juiced (insert Shawne Merriman joke here). San Diego wins outright.

Philly -6.5 Washington
Philly seemed in control of last week's game up until the final drive by Green Bay. Their potential hasn't been seen yet this year. How about a coming out party on Monday Night Football? Eagles roll.

The Nicknameless Wonder

Week 2 Picks - TPC Style

With a two game lead after the first week, I've let the lead go to my head. I warn you these picks are not for the faint of heart.


Buffalo +10 @ Pittsburgh
So let me get this straight….Pittsburgh beats up on the worst team in football and all of a sudden they are 10 point favorites over anyone?? How does this happen? And, you don’t mess with a team that’s playing with a purpose. Buffalo will be amped up for this game and will come out swinging. Pittsburgh in a close, low scoring game so I’ll definitely take the points.

Cincinnati -6.5 @ Cleveland
Last week I facetiously predicted the Brady Quinn watch would begin after the Browns’ first series. It looks like I wasn’t that far off after all. Charlie Frye, their starting QB, was traded to Seattle at halftime so Derek Anderson could hold the title of Lame Duck Quarterback until Quinn takes over in week 8. I would take Cincinnati in this game if they were giving 12 points, let alone 6. Bengals by a bunch.

Indianapolis -7 @ Tennessee
As much as it kills me, I can’t go with my Titans in this game. This line is way too low. The key to a Titans’ upset will be an effective running game and the Colts showed last week they can shut down an elite rushing team. If Indy has indeed made that leap into run defense respectability, Chris Brown and company are in for a long day. After week 1, I am officially anointing Indy as the king of the hill (sorry Pats fans). Indy in a good old fashioned Southern ass-whoopin.

Houston +6.5 @ Carolina
Carolina -6.5 vs Houston
You know there’s something wrong with your picks when you’re taking all the road teams. In fact, I’ve changed my mind on this one. Houston’s win last week was like an ugly chick with Botox injections. It looked good from far away, but when you take a closer look, things start to get a bit scary. This week, The Texans will be playing the part of the Botox shot and will make a decent Panther team look very good. Panthers by double-digits.

San Francisco +3.5 @ St. Louis
What does it say about a team when it narrowly avoids blackouts of its first two games of what could be a promising season? I think Rams’ fans are cautiously optimistic about the 2007 season but aren’t totally sold on what this team is selling. I’m not either…7-9 is what’s for sale. With that being said, It’s games like this that make me thankful I have Frank Gore in 2 out of 3 fantasy football leagues. Is it even possible for the Rams to hold Gore to less than 100 yards and at least 1 TD? 49ers by a late Gore touchdown.

Green Bay +1 @ NYG
Can an injury plagued Giants team actually save Tom Coughlin’s job? As improbable as it sounds, I think it will. This team had high hopes coming into the season but will now have an excuse for a disappointing season. They are way too banged up to compete with anyone, even an inferior Packers team. Green Bay wins a close game despite three Brett Favre turnovers.

Atlanta +10.5 @ Jacksonville
Jacksonville -10.5 vs Atlanta
So this would make 5 out of 6 road teams. I can’t do it…especially with Joey Harrington involved. They’re not quite there yet, but Garrard and his receivers will click. Matt Jones and Ernest Wilford will catch more than two combined passes this week and the Fragile Fred/MJD duo will shine. Jacksonville wins 21.5-10.5.

New Orleans -3.5 @ Tampa Bay
Now this line has me baffled. Throw this game in a three team teaser with Indy and Cincy and bet the farm! Saints go marchin’ on.

Detroit -3 vs Minnesota
I don’t feel safe with this pick. In fact, I feel Sean Preston Federline unsafe with this pick. But, I think all 5000 Ford Field fanatics will keep the Lions in this game. That or Tavaris Jackson will throw 3 picks and kill another stellar effort by the Vikes D. Much like Britney is sure to inevitably kill….I better leave this one alone. Detroit in a close one.

Dallas -3.5 @ Miami
Another road team with a line that seems low. I’m starting to get the feeling this is the week I go 5-11 with my picks. At least I’ll have something in common with the Dolphins because this team is headed for a 5-11 finish at best. The Cowboys are banged up and gave up a lot of points last week but that won’t happen this week. In fact, this is the game Tony Romo earns his contract extension. Dallas pulls away late in what starts as a close game.

Arizona +3 vs Seattle
How come every year we buy into the “This is the year the Cardinals put it together?” I fell for it in week 1 and here I go again. Why do we always take potential over a proven, yet boring team? Seattle should win this game easily but I’m too enamored with all the Cardinals’ weapons. This would explain why I’m relying on Matt Leinart as my fantasy football savior this year….gonna be a long year. Let’s just chalk this up as a loss and get it over with. Seattle wins big.

Baltimore -10 vs NYJ
Just last week I had the Jets to hang in there with a tough Pats team. It seemed like a great pick at the time but someone forgot to tell the Jets that. This sure is a lot of points to give with Kyle Boller potentially at the helm, but the alternative isn’t much better. Kellen Clemens on the road, no matter how many points, in his first pro game? I’ll take my chances with Boller and give the points…I can’t believe I just wrote that. Ravens by double-digits…I hope.

Denver -10 vs Oakland
Jay Cutler held his own last week against a very good Buffalo defense. He’ll have to do the same this week against an equally, if not better, Oakland defense. Travis Henry won’t eclipse 130 yards again, but the Broncos should easily handle a Raiders team that got beat by 15 at home by Detroit. Denver by three touchdowns…all three by Cutler.

Chicago -12 vs Kansas City
If that anemic Chiefs offense can be held to 3 points by a Houston Texans’ defense, imagine what the Bears D can do. Is it possible to score negative points? This could be the week where the Bears team D shatters the all-time record for fantasy points…only to be broken in week 10 with a trip to Oakland. Chicago wins big with the help of a defensive td and a Devin Hester return td.

New England +3.5 vs San Diego
Obviously the game of the week…with or without TapeGate. While we’re on that subject, is anyone not cheating these days? Hell, my columns have been aided by painkillers since day 1. Am I cheating? I can’t even tell what’s right and what’s wrong anymore. Pats steal a close one late.

Washington +6.5 @ Philadelphia
While I didn’t have the testicular fortitude to pick GB last week, I’ll say this one more time….IT TAKES TWO YEARS TO FULLY RECOVER FROM AN ACL TEAR! Combine that small detail with my sleeper team of the year and you have upset potential. Just look how Washington’s D teed off on Trent Green last week. This week will be no different with a hobbled Donovan McNabb. In fact, McNabb’s yearly injury could come early this year…as early as week 2. I can’t wait to see next week’s line when AJ Feeley and the Eagles travel to East Rutherford to take on Jared Lorenzen and the Giants. That will be tons of fun!

You're up Rico.

TPC

Week 1 Results

Week 1 of the NFL season proved a few things here on the Bullpen Catcher.

1. There are many, man wrinkles that need to be ironed out.
2. Neither Rich nor myself has a future as professional gamblers.
3. Did I mention we need to iron out some wrinkles?
4. I am infinitely smarter than Rich.

Or at least 2 games smarter. The tally from Week 1 has TPC with a slim lead over the nicknameless Rich, 9-5-2 vs 7-7-2. About those wrinkles....This week I will post before Rich so he has time to scrutinize my picks like I did his....seems fair enough. Beginning week 3 we will both post our picks simultaneously on Fridays at 2pm CST. On weeks where there are Thursday games, we will post on that Wednesday at 2pm CST. Also, we are going to be on the same page with the lines. There were a few games this week where we were using different spreads and it caused quite a stir. That was my fault and it won't happen again (hopefully).

This week, you all can look for my picks this evening and Rich's tomorrow. And, as always, any and all feedback will be appreciated. Thanks and good luck Rich!

TPC

Sunday, September 9, 2007

Week 1 Picks - TPC Style

I agree Rich, we should alternate each week on who picks first. So next week you'll see my post first and then Rich's drunken retort. Let's get to this...on to the picks (picks in red).

(I picked this game on Thursday morning)
Indianapolis – 5 vs New Orleans
This Saints team is perfect for the mediocre NFC but they will find things a bit tougher on the other side of the fence. There is serious concern here for an Indy letdown but I don’t think their crowd will allow it. Indy by a touchdown.

Kansas City +3 @ Houston
A putrid game that will be determined by running the ball, successful play-action passes, and 2 or 3 big defensive stops. Since I don’t think either team is capable of pulling off all three, I’ll take the points. Also, I'm not betting on Houston, especially laying 3 points, at any point this season until we see if that offensive line can keep Matt Schaub upright.Ugh…..

Buffalo +3.5 vs Denver
It’s not a reach to say this game could determine how this entire season will go for the Broncos. Is Jay Cutler ready to step up and lead this team or does need a year or two to put it all together? I’m betting on the latter and I like Buffalo to win this game in a close one.

Pittsburgh -4.5 @ Cleveland
I can see it now...Willie Parker 30 rushes for 140 yards and 2 tds. The Quinn watch will officially begin after the Brown's first series, undoubtedly a three-and-out. While we're at it, let's officially start the Romeo Crennel watch now. I'll set the over/under for his firing at week 10....put me down for the under. Pittsburgh will beat up on a beat up Browns squad.

Jacksonville -6.5 vs Tennessee
As much as it hurts me to say this, the Titans are going to be bad...very bad this year. Last year they won a bunch of fluky type games because of Vince Young and his mad scrambles. Opposing teams will now gameplan specifically to keep VY contained in the pocket where he's good for a 50% completion percentage and 20+ picks this year. At least we'll have The Madden Curse to blame for his inevitable sophomore slump. I'm a believer in David Garrard and I think Matt Jones and Ernest Wilford will step up their games this year. Jags in a good old fashion ass whoopin.

Carolina pick @ St. Louis
I am not one of the many St. Louis bandwagoneers (is that a word?). I agree that the division is wide open, but they still have that glaring weakness up the middle and expecting a rookie, who’s playing out of position, to change that is just wishful thinking. Carolina will run, run, run and win this game by less than a td.

Philadelphia -3 @ Green Bay
This is the easiest pick of the week. This line is completely ridiculous. I do think McNabb will struggle this year - haven't we learned by now that it takes two years to come back from an ACL tear? Philly will be average this year but they not in this game. Philly by two tds.

Minnesota -3 vs Atlanta
Not a game you could pay me to watch….or bet on for that matter. Two terrible teams headed in the same direction. I’ll take the home team and lay the points as long as Joey Harrington is involved.

Washington -3 vs Miami
I’m not as down on Washington as Rich seems to be. Campbell will come into his own this year and this Redskins team will surprise some folks this year. I think they will compete with Dallas for the division and beat Miami in a close game.

NY Jets +6 @ New England
The Pats are banged up, the Jets are hungry, Thomas Jones is playing in this game. New England by a field goal but they won't cover.

Seattle -5.5 vs Tampa Bay
Seattle at home against one of the worst teams in the league and I'm only giving 5.5 points?? Gotta love week 1 where the odds makers have no clue how to set the lines. Seattle in an ugly blow out.

Chicago +6 @ San Diego
This is a tough one. San Diego will win this game but this is too many points to give that Bears D. They're finally healthy for the most part and I think they'll give Phillip Rivers fits all day. I am going to warn everyone this....this could be the last time I take the Bears all year if Grossman lays an egg in this game. I'm just saying.

Detroit +2.5 @ Oakland
I'm not sure what John Kitna is smoking but this is not a 10 win team. But, Oakland is a 13 loss team and this game will set the tone for a long year. Oakland's defense will keep this game close but their offense will eventually lose it for them. Detroit by a td. And, is it just me or am I the only person that thinks Calvin Johnson will struggle this year, just like any other rookie? I don't care if he is a freak of nature. I see 40 catches, 550 yards, and 3 tds in his near future. I can't wait to look back on this prediction!

Dallas -6 vs NY Giants
This is a lot of points to give in this game but let me be the first to say, this is Eli's final year as the New York Giants' starting QB. At least the Giants will be picking in the top 10 so they'll have a shot at their next QB of the future. Dallas by double digits thanks to 3 Eli picks. Man, it's gotta be tough being the younger, less talented Manning. Now I know how my little brother feels.

Cincinnati -2.5 vs Baltimore
The "experts" seem to have an unhealthy crush on Baltimore and are all overlooking this Bengals team. Steve McNair is in decline, Willis McGahee is average, and they have no receiving corp. What's there to like except for the defense, which, I'll give you, is great?? The Cincinnattica Bengals are my sleeper team this year to push the Pats/Colts/Bolts for the AFC crown. Carson Palmer for MVP??? It could happen. Bengals in a tough, close one.

Arizona +3 @ San Francisco
What's the golden rule of betting on the NFL....take the Monday Night home underdog? Not in this game. THIS....I repeat THIS will be the year Arizona turns the corner and becomes a good team. They've addressed the offensive line, their defense will be better than advertised, and Leinart will take the next step to being a complete QB (kind of the anti-VY). Couple that with the five knuckle shuffle everyone is doing for the 49ers this year and this is a can't miss game. Cards by a td.

So there you have it; my picks that are sure to go wrong. Here's a tip for you gamblers out there...take the opposite of what you see above and you can't go wrong.

And just to remind Rich - it's 1-0 good guys after Thursday's game.....

The People's Champ

Thursday, September 6, 2007

Week 1 spreads (continued) - Rich's Pick

I bombed miserably in the NFL opener. The Saints +5 never looked so awful. If you are going to lose, you might as well go down in flames. Oh well. I actually lost nothing but pride on it as I was not able to get to the sportsbook in time today. This short?, Greek?, cocktail waitress loving degenerate gambler did not have action on the first game of the year. Kind of sad really. As I always do, it's time to overdo it on Week 1!!! The only games I'm betting are in my previous column. To compete with a PW'd half-Mexican-who speaks-no-Spanish 1800 miles away, here are my Sunday/Monday Week 1 picks.

  • Houston -3 KC. These are 2 teams heading in opposite directions. Texans by 10+.
  • Buffalo +3 Denver. I wish I could've gotten action in at 3.5, but I still like the Bills at home....probably winning the game outright.
  • Pittsburgh -4.5 Cleveland. Pittsburgh is back this year, the 4.5 point road spread scares me a little, that's why I'm not betting it.
  • Tennessee +6.5 Jacksonville. VY should keep this close on the road...again I wish I would've had action earlirer (+7).
  • St. Louis pik Carolina. I flipped a coin. The Rams won. Carolina is the better team, but St. Louis normally starts the season off well.
  • Philly -3 Green Bay. VEGAS INSIDE TIP-The reason the spread is so low is b/c a lot of action is anticipated by the sportsbooks coming in by Green Bay fans who will be in town for the Wisconsin-UNLV game. (I did not make this up.)
  • Atlanta +3 Minnesota. I could care less who wins this game...if Oakland-Detroit weren't playing this week this would be the ugliest game on the card.
  • Miami +3 Washington. Again, ugly game. Who cares?
  • NY Jets +6 New England. Lock of the week. The J-E-T-S play the Pats close at home nearly every time. It's not out of the question for an outright win here.
  • Seattle -5.5 Tampa Bay. Tampa sucks. Betting against them every chance I get....especially on the road against a pretty good Seattle team.
  • San Diego -6 Chicago. Grossman against the Chargers D on the road. Enough said.
  • Oakland -2.5 Detroit. Gulp....I really just picked the Raiders.
  • NY Giants +6 Dallas. I'm at a loss here as to why the spread is this high. Tiki makes a 2-3 point difference? NY killed Dallas last year on the road on Monday Night. Is Romo for real? Intriguing game. Not a bad way to end the day up as I'm beyond drunk and drooling on myself.
  • Cincy -2.5 Baltimore. The Bengals have the Ravens number at home. Should be an excellent game.
  • Arizona +3 San Fran. Waiting until the spread hits 3.5 on Monday to bet this. Again, San Fran is the "sexy" pick...betting against them.

To make the competition fair, I propose that the editor-in-chief of this outstanding blog make his picks before I do next week. We'll alternate. After I destroy his picks this week, it will be fun to pick apart his picks before making mine for a change!

Sincerely,

Rich Kim

Senior Degenerate Gambler

Return of the Champ

He's baaaaaaaaaaaaaaack. After a much needed hiatus the Champ is back in the building. Sorry to leave all 3 of you loyal readers hanging, but I just haven't had time to post a legit column. I'm sure I could've mailed a few in but that's just not my style.

I've been busy with therapy on my back, ring shopping, preparing to pop the question, and now planning a wedding. That's right...we're engaged.....she actually said yes! I know, I can't believe it either. Now comes the most hectic year of my life but I won't disappear on you guys again. I'm committed to this column like Ricky Williams to his bong, like Mike Vick to a dog show, like Michael Jackson to a playground, and like the Cubbies to coming up short.

I couldn't have picked a better time to come back, it's football time! With my MLB picks going bad...very bad, the NFL is here to save the day. Each week Rich and I will be posting competing columns where we will both pick each game with the spread. Kind of like The Sports Guy vs The Sports Gal. I'll let you guess who the "Gal" is in this competition. Here's a tip...he's short, Greek, and has a special place in his heart for cocktail waitresses and Elvis impersonators. We'll keep a running tally to see who the bigger idiot is and feel free to use our suggestions at your discretion because gambling is fun.

Rich has already posted his picks so I will post mine on Friday and recap his picks as well. May the best man (me) win!

In the meanwhile, here's my take on tonight's game.
Colts – 5 vs Saints
This Saints team is perfect for the mediocre NFC but they will find things a bit tougher on the other side of the fence. There is serious concern here for an Indy letdown but I don’t think their crowd will allow it. Indy by 10 points, pulling away late. All in all, should be a fun game!

The People's Champ