Wednesday, November 28, 2007

Week 13

I absolutely hate making my weekend picks on a Wednesday night, but here it goes.....

  • Green Bay +7 Dallas-The game of the week comes on a Thursday night. From what I hear, 2/3 of the country doesn't get the NFL network. My understanding of this situation is that the NFL network charges cable companies $.80 for their services. Apparently some of the cable companies have drawn the line and instead chose not to air them? Honestly I don't care because DirecTV has this network and I'll be sipping on a bottle of wine and enjoying the 2nd best game of the year. I like the Pack in this game....quite a bit. I price the Pack with a 40% chance of winning the game outright.
  • St. Louis -3 Atlanta-I almost wagered on a 2 win team giving points. The Lambs are playing better now that Jackson is healthy. The Falcons are one big clusterf#@%. I'm definitely not watching this game, but the Lambs should win easy.
  • Buffalo +5.5 Washington-The Bills play most teams tough and the Skins rarely blow anybody out....taking the points here.
  • Detroit +3.5 Minnesota-The Vikes look like they could be making a playoff run with their solid D and excellent running game. Unfortunately, they have no QB. I'm taking the Lions to at least momentarily, get back on track.
  • Houston +3.5 Tennessee-This game could go either way. It should be an excellent game....Titans win by a FG.
  • Jacksonville +6.5 Indy-I'm under the impression that the Monday Night meeting between the two teams was a little bit of a fluke. With the Colts beat up, I'm expecting at worst a close game and possibly a Jags upset.
  • Miami -1 NY Jets-How bad are the Jets? Rightfully so, they're underdogs to an 0-11 Miami Dolphins team. Look for the Fins to pickup their first win of the year.
  • San Diego -6 Kansas City-I'm not on the Chargers bandwagon this year by any means, but I'm definitely betting against Brody Croyle.
  • Philly -3 Seattle-It's official. Seattle on the road is a completely different team. As much as I think they are better than Philly, I'm taking the Eagles with Feeley.
  • San Fran +3 Carolina-It's unfortunate somebody has to win this game.
  • Tampa Bay +3 New Orleans-Which Saints team shows up? I have no idea. Huge game in the division....somehow I trust the Bucs a little more.
  • Cleveland +1 Arizona-This is a completely difficult game for the Browns, but I'm taking them with the roll they are on.
  • Denver -3.5 Oakland-The Raiders are awful and have no chance of the playoffs. Why is JaMarcus Russell not starting at this point?
  • NY Giants -1 Chicago-The G-Men finally get back on track. Take the over!
  • Pittsburgh -7 Cincy-Read nothing into last week's Monday Night 3-0 debacle. That was the worst field I've ever seen played on at ANY level of football. The Steelers will crush the Bengals (unless another monsoon happens)
  • New England -20.5 Baltimore-I'm still not betting against the Pats....even with last week's strangely close game. There is no chance the Ravens (Kyle Boller at the helm) can bring a quick offense like the Eagles did. The machine rolls.

Honestly in real money terms, there isn't a lot I like this week. So far, I've taken Green Bay +7, Jags +6.5, NY Giants/Chicago over 42. I'm not overly confident about these picks but my strategy this year is to bet 3-5 games at the same amount of money all year. So far, so good. Good luck this week.

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